Sunday, December 10, 2017

Hot Stove Update: Stanton to the Yankees

1 day after rejecting a trade to the Giants, Giancarlo Stanton waived his no-trade clause to accept a trade to the Yankees which almost feels like a cliche.  It's ARod 2.0 almost to a T.  The Marlins, who were at the mercy of that no-trader were almost certainly forced to accept a lesser return than they would have received from either the Cardinals or the Giants, although there are very few tears being shed for the Marlins after all this.  Stanton now joins Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez as the latest incarnation of the "Bronx Bombers" or "Murderer's Row". What's a bit unusual for the Yankees is they are all RH batters.  The Yankees, who fell 1 game short of going to the World Series in 2017, are now the favorites to do that in 2018 and possibly beyond.

The Marlins "haul" in this trade is Starlin Castro who is owed $22 M over the next 2 seasons and 2 prospects from the lower minors who might be described as lottery tickets.  Jose Guzman seems to be the more promising.  He's a RHP with nice size and a high-90's FB who looks like he's most likely on the reliever track.  SS Jose Devers is defense-first with some projectability at the plate.  But basically, this was a massive salary dump for the Marlins.  It stinks for their fans and for all of baseball, except for Yankee fans, but maybe the Marlins new ownership legitimately feels it needs to clean up Jeffrey Loria's mess before they and start to build a winner in Miami?  That process does not appear to be particularly accelerated by either this deal or the recent trade of Dee Gordon as the Marlins are not getting top notch prospects back in either deal.

This trade appears to make a mockery of all of the efforts in recent CBA's to limit spending by big-market teams.  Bonus pools, CBT's, harsh penalties for circumventing the rules all punish prospects, but have done little or nothing to stop the big spenders from spending.  In baseball, the more things change, the more they stay the same.  This deal may make ownership more determined to push for a hard salary cap in the next round of CBA bargaining which could lead to a work stoppage, which would be very bad for everybody.  A hard cap might make the league more competitive, but would probably serve more to suppress the salaries of low-mid level players than to suppress superstar salaries.  The players might want to counter with a proposal for a payroll floor if MLB wants them to accept a hard cap.

5 comments:

  1. Agree it is bad for baseball for handful of teams to hoard top talent. I am reminded of Bowie Kuhn cancelling / invalidating Charlie Finley's sale of stars in late 70's because it was bad for competitive baseball and would have led to imbalances. Hopefully the Yankees will not run away with the AL East or the AL Pennant ... they are once again those "Damn Yankees" -- i think fans will despise this team loaded with top talent.

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  2. I just read this (by Pavs) in light of losing out on Stanton & Otani:

    "According to The Boston Globe, the Giants "will pursue" top free agents J.D. Martinez, Mike Moustakas, Todd Frazier and Lorenzo Cain."

    JD Martinez is a yes as he can upgrade LF.
    Moustakas will most likely be an expensive 'meh.'
    Frazier is a good defensive 3B, has a lot of pop, but is a low BA/OBP player so he's sort of a Crawford (but more power) guy.
    Cain is a CF whose fielding is in decline. I'm seeing Pagan all over again.

    I'm really ok with a rebuild rather than flogging a dead horse as far as I can see it. It was a nice run. We won three WS more than I thought we'd ever win in my life. Get the payroll situation under-control. Develop some young talent. Trade off some assets to help restock while creating tomorrow's heroes.

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    1. You're on Moses 'cept Martinez is another dive into CB hell.

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  3. J D Martinez is a good buy at $100-120M.
    Preferably less.
    I'd rather see a platoon of Span and Pence in LF, a good-field-no-hit in CF, and hodge-pod in right (Pence and everyone else).
    Scratch good-field and substitute great field.
    Shouldn't cost $100M.
    What will make or break the Giants in 2018 is a return to norm of Bubgarner, Cueto, Belt, Crawford, Melancon, Smith, Moore -- just norm not superstar. If they don't do that, everyone should be for sale in July. For salary relief and prospects.
    Must: a fielding CF in AT&T.
    BUT, Martinez is betting all with the big salaries the Giants have if he goes for what the 'spurts predict.
    Clean the edges, Hunker down, and Give up in July unless the team is playing .555 or better.

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  4. Blog, I would only get Moose or Hosmer and trade Belt. I think I would try to get Dyson, or Cain. Moose, could anchor 3b for a long time, is proven RBI guy, solid glove. Blog, your thoughts.

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