Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Game Wrap 6/28/2017: Giants 5 Rockies 3

We may have witnessed the dawning of the Hwang Age.  Jae-Gyun Hwang's first MLB hit in his first MLB game was a game winning HR in the 6'th inning leading the Giants to their first series sweep of the season against a division rival who dominated them earlier in the season.  Key Lines:

Gorkys Hernandez CF/LF- 1 for 3, BB.  BA= .225.  Hernandez continued his hot hitting in June.

Austin Slater RF- 1 for 3, BB.  BA= .333.  Slater's hip is quite obviously not 100% as he was slowed in the OF, particularly on a ball that had he been able to charge more quickly might have prevented a runner from reaching 3B.

Jae-Gyun Hwang 3B- 1 for 4, HR(1).  BA= .250.  Hwang got his first RBI on a sharp comebacker that bounced off Freeland's glove.  Freeland recovered in time to throw out Hwang, but Joe Panik was able to score the Giants first run on the play.  The HR in the 6'th inning was called ahead by Mike Krukow who said on the 2-0 pitch that Hwang would be looking for a pitch to hit out of the park.  No sooner were the words out of his mouth and bam!  It was no cheapie either.   The ball landed half way up in the LF bleachers.  As we have seen over the years, great Giants have hit HR's for their first MLB hit in their first MLB game and others who have done that have ended up being busts.  Let's hope this is the start of a long, successful Giants career for Jae-Gyun Hwang who said his only wish was to play in 1 MLB game.  He's already done a lot more than that!

Ty Blach LHP- 6.1 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K's, GO/AO= 8/2.  ERA= 4.60.  Blach was coming off a terrible start against the Mets.  Things did not look good when he gave up 2 runs before recording an out in the first inning aided by his own throwing error allowing leadoff batter Charlie Blackmon to reach base.  Blach clearly did not have his best command but hung tough, got out of the inning and then held the Rockies scoreless until the 6'th inning when he made another throwing error on a Pat Valaika bunt which allowed Valaika to reach 3B and score on a basehit.  The bullpen was short between the extra inning game yesterday and Mark Melancon hitting the DL again so Blach stretched it into the 7'th inning to complete a Quality Start.

Steven Okert LHP- 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K.  ERA= 6.48.  Okert needed this outing.  He fell behind the first batter he faced in the 8'th 3-1 but made the pitches he had to and got 2 more big outs against LH batters in the 9'th.

Hunter Strickland RHP- 0.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K, Save(1).  ERA= 2.25.  Sam Dyson is officially the Closer with Melancon hitting the DL, but he was apparently not available due to pitching in the extra-inning affair the night before.  Strickland got the call and ended it.

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The Giants get a travel day and start a road trip in Pittsburgh Friday night with Johnny Cueto facing Gerrit Cole.

Down on the Farm: 6/27/2017

AAA  El Paso Diablos nipped the Sacramento River Cats 5-2:

Mac Williamson RF- 1 for 3, SF, SB(1).  BA= .256.
Chris Stratton RHP- 4.1 IP, 11 H, 5 R, 1 BB, 6 K's, GO/AO= 5/0.  ERA= 5.71.
Derek Law RHP- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 4.91.

-Just when you think Stratton has turned a corner….his peripherals are better than the outcome, though.
-The Giants must have heard us talking because Jae-Gyun Hwang is the latest callup.  He'll start at 3B against the LHP in AT&T Park today.

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AA  Trenton Thunder rolled over the Richmond Flying Squirrels 10-4:

Slade Heathcott CF- 0 for 3, 2 BB. BA- .268.
Brandon Bednar 1B- 2 for 4, 2 2B.  BA= .265.

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High A  San Jose Giants pounded the Stockton Ports 11-5:

Ryan Howard SS- 1 for 3, 2 BB.  BA= .327.
Dillon Dobson 1B- 3 for 4, 2B, 2 HR(11).  BA= .237.
Aramis Garcia C- 1 for 3, HR(11), BB.  BA= .279.
Grant Watson LHP- 5.2 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 5.79.
Michael Cederoth RHP- 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 0.00.

-Howard will probably have to do it at AA level before he starts getting national recognition, but he's having a great season.
-Michael Cederoth may be a steal for the Giants.

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Low A  Augusta Greenjackets shut down the West Virginia Power 9-0:

Kelvin Beltre 2B- 0 for 2, 2 BB.  BA= .270.
Jacob Heyward LF- 1 for 3, 2B, HBP.  BA= .238.
Sandro Fabian RF- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .257.
Brandon Van Horn SS- 3 for 3, 2B, BB.  BA= .262.
Stephen "Not Stetson" Woods RHP- 6 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 3.17.
Nolan Riggs RHP- 3 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's, Save(2).  ERA= 2.48.

-Fabian is hitting .351 over his last 10 games and .294 in June.
-Van Horn has a reputation as a slick fielding SS, but he's raking to a .462 BA over his last 10 games and .397 for June.
-Riggs is quietly having a good season.  6'8" reliever who has been around awhile.

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Short Season  Salem-Keizer Volcanoes buried the Boise Hawks 9-1:

Malique "5-Tool" Zeigler CF- 3 for 5, 3B.  BA= .404.
Richard Amion LF- 2 for 4.  BA= .341.
Gustavo Cabrera RF- 1 for 4, HR(1).  BA= .071.
Jeffrey Parra C- 2 for 4, 2B. BA= .188.
Stetson "Cowboy" Woods RHP- 5 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 1.59.
Kendry Melo RHP- 3 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 0.00.
Matt Pope RHP- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 10.80.

-Malique got a nice comment from Eric Longenhagen in his Fangraphs Prospect Chat yesterday.
-Melo seems to have a high ceiling. Not sure why he hasn't gotten more traction up to this point.

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AZL Giants defeated the Dodgers 6-3:

Ismael Muguia LF- 1 for 2, 2 BB, SB(1).  ERA= .333.
Nick Hill CF- 3 for 4, 3B.  BA= .400.
Diego Rincones RF- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .300.
Ricardo Genoves C- 2 for 4.  BA= .182.
Jose Rivero SS- 2 for 3, 2B.  BA= .250.
Deiyerbert Bolivar LHP- 3 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 0.00.
Alvaro Diaz RHP- 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 2.08.
Pat Young RHP- 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 0.00.
Olbis Parra RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, Save(1).  ERA= 0.00.

-Nick Hill was drafted as an OF but played 3B for AZL Giants last season.  He's in CF for this game at least.
-Hey!  A Deiyerbert Bolivar sighting!
- Pat Young is on a rehab assignment.

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DSL  Giants outscored the Padres 8-4:

Ghordy Santos 3B- 1 for 3, BB.  BA= .128.
Wascar DeLeon 2B- 2 for 5, 2B. BA= .221.
Franklin Labour LF- 2 for 3, 2 HR(2), BB.  BA= .297.
Alexander Canario RF- 0 for 4, 2 SB(8).  BA= .261.
Luis Moreno RHP- 6 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 3.91.

-I hope Wascar DeLeon makes it to the majors just for his name.
-Luis Moreno is a 6'2" 18 yo RHP.

Game Wrap 6/27/2017: Giants 4 Rockies 3

The Giants went to extra innings to overcome a 3-run dinger by Mark Reynolds, which accounted for all of the Rockies' Runs.  The Giants used 11 singles, a double and 3 walks to produce their 4 runs.  Key Lines:

Denard Span- 3 for 7.  BA= .287.  We've talked a lot about the tremendous month of June that Span is having.   He may be making himself tradeable, but he's signed for 1 more season at an AAV of $10 M and the Giants do not have an MLB ready CF prospect in the wings.  Short of getting one in a trade return, it's probably better to hang onto Span and try to get the next CF another way.

Brandon Belt- 2 for 6.  BA= .231.  It's probably just a coincidence, but Belt has been a hot hitter ever since Javier Lopez hung the "Sparky" nickname on him on the air in ATL.  Belt has a 10 game hit streak going in which he is batting .306 with a .694 SLG%.

Kelby Tomlinson PH/3B- 1 for 3.  BA= .265.  I wasn't able to find a separate split for PH, but they put some numbers up on the TV broadcast which showed Kelby's career BA as a PH is just under .300.  That's getting into Manny Mota territory!

Gorkys Hernandez LF- 2 for 6.  BA= .223.  Hernandez has turned his season around hitting .361, 13 for 36, in June.

Ryder Jones 3B- 0 for 3.  BA= .000.  Jones has struggled at the plate, but looked a bit more confident and squared up a couple of balls.  He looks very rangy at 3B.  He is 0 for 13.  Didn't Willie Mays go 0 for 12 before getting his first MLB hit?

Austin Slater PH- 1 for 1.  BA= .333.  Slater tested his hip flexor as he had to book it down to 1B to beat out a swinging bunt.  He did not appear to be having problems.  So, Ryder Jones squares up a couple of balls and comes up empty while Slater hits one about 50 ft and gets a knock.  Baseball!

Matt Cain RHP- 6 IP,  6 H, 3 R, 3 BB, 3 K, GO/AO= 10/2.  ERA= 5.46.  Cainer came within 2 outs of throwing a 6-inning shutout until it was ruined by Mark Reynolds 3-run dinger.  He settled for a QS.

Sam Dyson RHP- 1.2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 9.00.  Dyson's ERA with the Giants is a more palatable 4.91.  He has 10 K's and 3 BB's in 7.1 IP for the Giants which are close to his career averages.  He had 12 BB and 7 K's in 16.2 IP with Texas before they released him.  Prior to that he had ERA's of 2.14, 2.63 and 2.43 in 2014-2016 with 38 Saves in 2016.  He has 2 years of arbitration eligibility remaining after this season.

Cory Gearrin RHP- 3 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 K, GO/AO= 7/0.  ERA= 1.98.  I could ask where would the Giants be without Cory Gearrin, but…..nevermind.  Gearrin his having standout results even though his K rate is down and the BB rate is up.

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Ty Blach tries to recover from his last start and complete a series sweep of the Rockies this afternoon facing LHP Kyle Freeman.

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Jae-Gyun Hwang gets the callup and will start today's game at 3B against the LHP.

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Down on the Farm: 6/26/2017

AAA  Sacramento River Cats defeated the El Paso Chihuahuas 4-2:

Mac Williamson LF- 1 for 3, 2B, BB.  BA= .255.
Jae-Gyun Hwang 1B- 1 for 3, HR(7), BB.  BA= .287.
Ali Castillo 2B- 2 for 4, 3B.  BA= .207.
Tyler Beede RHP- 8 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 7 K.  ERA= 5.11.
Tyler Rogers RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K, Save(2).  ERA= 2.15.

-Hwang is kind of the forgotten man in the chaos of the Giants season.
-This was Beede's best Start since 5/17.
-Will Rogers get a MLB audition this season?

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AA Richmond Flying Squirrels edged the Trenton Thunder 3-2:

CJ Hinojosa SS- 2 for 4, 2B, HR(1).  BA= .270.
Sam Coonrod RHP- 5.2 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 4.54.
Tyler Cyr RHP- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, Save(10).  ERA= 3.00.

-CJ is hitting .447 over his last 10 games.

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High A  San Jose Giants pounded the Stockton Ports 12-4:

Ryan Howard SS- 3 for 5, SB(3).  BA= .327.
Dillon Dobson 1B- 1 for 5, HR(9).  BA= .228.
Bryan Reynolds CF- 4 for 5, 2 2B, HR(4).  BA= .312.
Aramis Garcia C- 2 for 4, 2 HR(10), BB.  BA= .278.

-Ryan Howard has put together a very solid first 3 months of his first full pro season:  .323 in April, .315 in May, .351 in June.  .400 over his last 10 games.
-Reynolds got off to a slow start to his first full pro season but has really kicked it into gear.  After hitting .253 in April he turned in a .340 in May and is hitting .342 so far in June.
-Aramis Garcia is hitting .333 in his last 10 games.

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Low A  Augusta Greenjackets shut down the West Virginia Power 2-0:

Sandro Fabian RF- 1 for 3, 2B.  BA= .253.
Jacob Heyward LF- 2 for 3, SB(4).  BA= .236.
Dominic Mazza LHP- 7 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 6 K's, GO/AO= 11/4.  ERA= 3.48.
Patrick Ruotolo RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, Save(6).  ERA= 1.48.

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Short Season  Boise Hawks topped the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 8-2:

Ryan Kirby 1B- 1 for 4, HR(1).  BA= .357.
Nick Deeg LHP- 2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 2.79.
Logan Webb RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB,  2 K's.  ERA= 3.00.

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AZL Cubs edged out the Giants 5-4:

Steven Duggar RF- 0 for 1, 2 BB.  BA= .000.
Beicker Mendoza DH- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .500.
Angeddy Almanzar 1B- 2 for 4.  BA= .286.
Miguel Figueroa RHP- 4.2 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K's. ERA= 1.93.
Sidney Duprey LHP- 3.1 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 1 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 8.10.

-Still no sign of any draftees.

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DSL  White Sox outscored the Giants 9-7:

Wascar DeLeon 2B- 2 for 4, 2B, SB(2).  BA= .259.
Ghordy Santos SS- 1 for 3, 3B, BB.  BA= .114.

Game Wrap 6/26/2017: Giants 9 Rockies 2

One day after hitting rock bottom for the umpteenth time this season, the Giants put together a complete effort against a team that has tormented them this season.  Key Lines:

Denard Span CF- 2 for 4, 3B, BB.  BA= .282.  Span is hitting .347 in June.

Joe Panik 2B- 2 for 4, SF.  BA= .279.  Panik is hitting .368 in June.

Hunter Pence RF- 3 for 5.  BA= .266.  Pence is hitting .308 in June.

Buster Posey C- 3 for 4, 2B, SF.  BA= .347.  Buster Posey is hitting .345 in June after hitting .354 in April and .344 in May.

Brandon Belt 1B- 1 for 3, 3B, 2 BB.  BA= .229.  Belt's career BABIP is .334.  It .268 this year after a .363 in 2015 and a .346 in 2016.  They did not just start shifting on Belt this year.  His fWAR of 1.2 is #15 among MLB 1B.  Not great but considering the first  half BABIP, not terrible either.  Even with no second half improvement, his projected fWAR of 2.4 at least earns back the AAV on his salary.

Jeff Samardzija RHP- 6.1 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 4.63.  Samardzija's career BABIP Against is .296.  This year it's .325.  His K/BB of 10.03/1.11 is by far the best of his career.

Sam Dyson RHP- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 9.67.  Dyson has potential.  At this point the Giants probably don't have anything to lose by being patient with him and seeing if he can find some consistency.

Kyle Crick RHP- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 4.15.  Ditto Kyle Crick.

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Matt Cain tries to get his season back on track tonight facing Rookie Jeff Hoffman.

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The MRI on Austin Slater's hip was reportedly OK and he was available to PH and could return to the lineup on 6/28.

Monday, June 26, 2017

Thoughts On What Went Wrong Part 2: More Numbers

When I started researching this post, I was planning to write about the Giants are by design a groundball/line drive team and how advances in defensive positioning have taken their game away from them.  Positioning may well be part of the problem, but my conclusion is that plain old fashioned luck played a bigger role.  Here are the numbers:

Hitting:

2016:  BABIP= .299.  GB/FB= 1.38.  LD%= 21.6.  Soft%= 20.9.  Med%= 50.7.  Hard%= 29.0.
2017:  BABIP= .280.  GB/FB= 1.43.  LD%= 19.2.  Soft%= 21.3.  Med%= 50.7.  Hard%= 28.0.

Pitching:

2016:  BABIP= .287.  GB/FB= 1.30.  LD%= 19.7.  Soft%= 19.0.  Med%= 51.3.  Hard%= 29.7.
2017:  BABIP= .320.  GB/FB= 1.19.  LD%= 22.2.  Soft%= 19.2.  Med%= 48.0.  Hard%= 32.8.

So yes, Giants batters are hitting a few more groundballs and a few fewer LD's and Giants pitchers are giving up more flyballs and more LD's.  Some of that may be by design as many MLB hitters are consciously trying to elevate the ball more and teams continue to shift more.  So it is likely not all of this is purely due to luck, but the peripheral numbers do not explain the .019 drop in BABIP by the Giants AND the .033 jump in BABIP by opposing batters.  Differences like that over a half season sample size are likely to be due to a massive case of bad BABIP luck.  After all, teams did not just start shifting this year and the Giants did not just become a GB/LD team in one season.  They've been that for a few years now.

So, if you watch game after game and think to yourself that the Giants are hitting a whole lot of balls right at defenders and opposing teams are finding a whole lot of holes in the defense and the luck has to turn sometime.  Well, it looks like the numbers back you up. While injuries and poor play have undoubtedly contributed to the Giants first half faceplant, most of if is due to plain old fashioned bad luck.

Sunday, June 25, 2017

Down on the Farm: 6/25/2017

AAA  Sacramento River Cats were idle.

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AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels topped the Akron Rubber Ducks 5-4:

Myles Schroder 3B- 2 for 5, 2 2B.  BA= .295.
Slade Heathcott CF- 1 for 2, BB, Sac.  BA= .275.
Miguel Gomez 2B- 2 for 4.  BA= .317.
Jerry Sands DH- 2 for 4, 2 2B.  BA= .312.
Daniel Carbonell LF- 2 for 4.  BA= .313.
Dylan Davis RF- 2 for 4, HR(4).  BA= .210.
Jose Flores RHP- 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 7 K, GO/AO= 7/2.  ERA= 2.14.
Carlos Alvarado RHP- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 2.70.

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High A  San Jose Giants outlasted the Visalia Rawhide 7-6 in 10 innings:

Dillon Dobson 1B- 2 for 5, BB.  BA= .228.
Bryan Reynolds DH- 2 for 6, 3B, SB(1).  BA= .302.
Gio Brusa LF- 2 for 6, 2B.  BA= .252.
Matt Winn C- 3 for 4, BB.  BA= .221.
Jalen Miller 2B- 1 for 3, 2B, BB, SF.  BA= .224.
Michael Connolly RHP- 6.2 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 1 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 3.88.

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Low Game 1  Augusta Greenjackets blanked the Hickory Crawdads 1-0:

Sandro Fabian RF- 2 for 3.  BA= .251.
Brandon Van Horn SS- 2 for 3.  BA= .246.
Caleb Baragar LHP- 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 9 K's.  ERA= 4.04.
Patrick Ruotolo RHP- 1 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's, Save(5).  ERA= 1.54.

-In his last 3 Starts, Baragar has allowed 2 ER in a total of 21 P with 3 BB, and 17 K's.

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Low A Game 2  Augusta Greenjackets outslugged the Hickory Crawdads 8-5:

Johneshwy Fargas CF- 2 for 5, HR(1).  BA= .182.
Jose Vizcaino Jr. 1B- 3 for 3, 2B, SB(4).  BA= .232.
Jacob Heyward LF- 2 for 4, HR(8).  BA= .230.
Sandro Fabian DH- 1 for 3, BB.  BA= .252.
Jean Angomas RF- 2 for 4, 2 SB(6).  BA= .214.
Brandon "Scooter" Van Horn SS- 3 for 4, 3 SB(10).  BA= .256.
Sandro Cabrera LHP- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 3.82.
Greg Brody RHP- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 6.43.

-Fabian is hitting .316 over his last 10 games and .282 for the month of June.
-Van Horn is hitting .395 over his last 10 games and .388 for the month of June and showing some speed on the basepaths to boot.

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Short Season  Eugene Emeralds defeated the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 7-4:

Malique "5-Tool" Zeigler CF- 3 for 4, 2 2B.  BA= .395.
Richard Amion 2B- 2 for 4, HR(1).  BA= .324.
Manuel Geraldo SS- 1 for 4, HR(1).  BA= .350.
Alejandro De La Rosa RHP- 5 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 4 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 0.90.

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AZL  Angels beat the Giants 6-2:

Steven Duggar CF- 0 for 2.  BA= .000.
Madison Bumgarner LHP- 3 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

-Still no sign of any draftees.
-Great to see Duggar and Bumgarner start their rehab assignment.  Especially for Bumgarner to go 3 innings.

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DSL Giants were idle.

Game Wrap 6/25/2017: Mets 8 Giants 2

The Giants did not put up much of a fight to try to stave off a sweep at home against a team that is not very good.  Key Lines:

Ryder Jones 3B- 0 for 2.  BA= .000.  Opposing pitchers already seem to have a book on Jones.  He's looking for fastballs early in the count and he's not seeing the back-foot slider well.

Austin Slater LF- 0 for 2.  BA= .324.  Slater made a couple of nice running catches in the OF.  He also had a pretty nice oppo-field line drive carry into Jay Bruce's glove.

Matt Moore LHP- 4.1 IP, 7 H, 5 R, 3 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 6.04.  I don't know if Moore was tipping his pitches or if Rene Rivera is very good at remembering opposing pitch sequences, but he appeared to know both the pitch and location ahead of time on his 2 dingers.  I mean, he swung from the heels like there was no doubt in his mind both times.  And he's a weak hitting backup catcher and if he's that good at reading pitch sequences, how come he doesn't do that against other pitchers?

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The Giants try to regroup agains the visiting Rockies who are coming off a losing streak of their own(remember the Mets were coming off a 4-game sweep in LA).  Jeff Samardzija faces German Marquez tomorrow night.

Down on the Farm: 6/24/2017

AAA  Game 1  Fresno Grizzlies defeated the Sacramento River Cats 6-2(7 innings):

Jarrett Parker DH- 1 for 3, BB.  BA= .286.
Chris Shaw LF- 2 for 3, 2B.  BA= .275.
Jae-Gyun Hwang 1B- 0 for 1, 2 BB.  BA= .289.
Tyler Rogers RHP- 3 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K, GO/AO= 5/0.  ERA= 2.20.

-Sidearm/Submarine pitchers are a bit out of vogue right now.  Could the Giants use one in their pen just for a different look?  I guess Gearrin sort of fits that description right now.

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AAA Game 2  Fresno Grizzlies mauled the Sacramento River Cats 6-2(7 innings):

Nothing to see here.

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AA  Akron Rubber Ducks downed the Richmond Flying Squirrels 3-2:

Nothing to see here.

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High A  Visalia Rawhide whipped the San Jose Giants 2-1:

Ronnie Jebavy CF- 2 for 4.  BA= .338.
Conner Menez LHP- 6 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 3.79.
Will LaMarche RHP- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 2.00.

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Low A  Augusta Greenjackets vs Hickory Crawdads postponed due to wet grounds.

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Short Season  Eugene Emeralds outlasted the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 7-6 in 12 innings:

Malique "5-Tool" Zeigler CF- 1 for 4, 2 BB, BA= .359.
Kevin Rivera 2B- 2 for 6, 2B.  BA= .205.
Ryan Kirby 1B- 2 for 4, 2 2B, 2 BB.  BA= .371.
Manuel Geraldo SS- 2 for 6.  BA= .361.
Kendry Melo RHP- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

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AZL  Angels edged out the Giants 4-3:

Ismael Munguia LF- 2 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .500.
Jake Greenwalt RHP- 5 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 3.60.

-No draftee sightings in this game.

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DSL  Giants beat the White Sox 3-1:

Aynesber Sivira 3B- 2 for 2, 2 HBP, SB(8).  BA= .250.
Norwith Gudino RHP- 5.2 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 1.96.

Game Wrap 6/24/2017: Mets 5 Giants 2

This was a pretty good pitcher's duel until the Giants bullpen entered the picture in the 8'th inning.  Key Lines:

Brandon Belt 1B- 1 for 4, HR(14).  BA= .228.  Sparky has 3 dingers in his last 5 games and is now on a pace to hit at least 28 on the season.  He still has 4 games until the mathematical midpoint.  His previous career high in HR's was 18.

Ryder Jones 3B- 0 for 4.  BA= .000.  Wow! Ryder Jones looks like he's put in some work on his body since I last saw him play for the San Jose Giants.  Back then I was comparing him to Babe Ruth without the paunch.  He looks like a 5-tool athlete now.  Hard to judge 1 game and he was facing one of the best pitchers in baseball, but the early look suggests he may struggle with sliders at the back foot, like pretty much every other LH hitting prospect the Giants have brought up….except maybe Joe Panik.

Johnny Cueto RHP- 7 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 3 K's. ERA- 4.20.  The peripherals aren't pretty, but this was Cueto's most effective start of the season.  He has 4 QS out of his last 6 with one of the non-QS being a 2 ER/5 IP game. He has a 3.42 ERA over that 6 start span.

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Matt Moore had a pretty good start his last time out and will try to build on that today while facing Rafael Montero of the Mets.

Saturday, June 24, 2017

Thoughts on What Went Wrong Part 1: The Numbers

This season's faceplant has left Giants fans scratching their heads wondering what they are witnessing.  The core of players who led the Giants to 3 World Series Championships in 5 years in the first half of the decade remains largely intact with most players in the prime of their careers.  A down 2015 could be blamed on the odd year jinx and the every other year post-celebration hangover.  2016 looked like it might be the year they set records with a 4-peat of the even year magic, only to see it ruined by a massive bullpen failure.

With the bullpen fixed by the addition of Mark Melancon, for a very big price, 2017 looked like a season in which the Giants might start a run of odd year magic.  What happened instead was a faceplant of historic proportions.  The team, by preseason projections which are known to be generally both accurate and conservative, was supposed to win between 86 and 90 games and contend for playoff spot and possible championship.  Optimistic scenarios had them as high as 94-96 Wins.  Instead, they have stumbled and crawled to a 27-49 record.

What has Giants fans concerned, and rightly so, is this season was headed south long before Madison Bumgarner took his fateful ride in Colorado.  Maybe if you squinted hard, you could see some early signs of a turnaround, but even with a fully healthy Bumgarner, it would have taken an historic comeback to overcome that start.  While there have been a few strong performances by individual players, the failure is broad based and accomplished with a core the Giants appear to be locked into for the remainder of the decade through a series of longterm contract extensions.

I have wanted to write a post or series of posts on the great collapse for awhile now.  It's not an easy topic to tackle because there does not appear to be a single cause or simple solution.  I thought some basic numbers might be a good place to start.  We are now within 5 games of the mathematical mid-point of the season.  I went into the Fangraphs Projections section and looked up the pre-season ZIPS projections for the Giants, then divided by 2 to get the first half zWAR projection for each player.  I then subtracted their current season fWAR to find the variance.  Here is what I found(listed are player- Season Projected zWAR/2, Season To Date fWAR, Projected zWAR/2-fWAR Variance)(Disclaimer:  Dan Szymborski, creator of ZIPS, warns against a adding up individual zWARs and using that to calculate a projected team win total; zWAR and fWAR may not be comparable so this is all a rough estimate of relative player performance compared to expected):

Preseason Projected Roster- Batters

Buster Posey- 2.1, 2.8, +0.7.
Brandon Crawford- 1.7, 0.8, -0.9.
Brandon Belt- 1.4, 1.0, -0.4.
Joe Panik- 1.0, 1.1, +0.1.
Eduardo Nunez- 0.9, 1.0, +0.1.
Hunter Pence- 0.9, 0.2, -0.7.
Denard Span- 0.5, 0.9, +0.4.
Jarrett Parker- 0.5, -0.1, -0.6.
Gorkys Hernandez- 0.4, -0.3, -0.7.
Kelby Tomlinson-0.2, 0.0, -0.2.
Conor Gillaspie-0.1, -0.4, -0.5.
Nick Hundley- 0.2, -0.1, -0.3.

As you can see, Buster Posey and Denard Span have been the top over-performers while there are multiple under-performers the worst one being, surprisingly, Brandon Crawford.

Preseason Projected Roster- Pitchers

Madison Bumgarner- 2.5, 0.9, -1.6.
Johny Cueto- 2.0, 0.8, -1.2.
Jeff Samardzija- 1.6, 1.9, +0.3.
Matt Moore- 0.7, 0.7, 0.0.
Ty Blach- 0.7, 0.9, +0.2.
Mark Melancon- 0.4, 0.1, -0.3.
Will Smith- 0.4, DNP, DNP.
Hunter Strickland- 0.3, 0.7, +0.4.
Matt Cain- 0.3, 0.1, -0.2.
Derek Law- 0.1, -0.2, -0.3.
Steven Okert- 0.2, 0.0, -0.2.
George Kontos- 0.1, 0.2, +0.1.
Cory Gearrin- 0.05, 0.1, +0.05.

The injury to Bumgarner and underperformance by Johnny Cueto appear to be the two biggest factors in the Giants collapse but there is plenty of blame to go around.

Here is a list of fWARs accumulated by miscellaneous fill-in players who were not projected to make the Opening Day Roster:

Austin Slater- +0.5.
Michael Morse- -0.1.
Mac Williamson- -0.2.
Orlando Calixte- -0.3.
Aaron Hill- -0.4.
Drew Stubbs- -0.4.
Chris Marrero- -0.6.
Justin Ruggiano- -0.6.
Christian Arroyo- -0.6.

Of all the attempts by the Giants to fill holes/apply bandaids, Austin Slater is the only one who has delivered a positive fWAR balance.  All the others were a negative whether washed up veterans, AAAA players or highly touted prospects.

A Dan Szymborski comment in the discussion of his Giants ZIPS posting on Fangraphs was most interesting in retrospect:  "Overal, the position-player side of things appears to be well suited to AVOIDING THE AWFUL."(the last 3 words were bolded in his original comment).  There was also no indication of major concerns for the pitching or the depth.  Well, awful they have been.  While perhaps none have been individually awful, the cumulative effect of a broad-based underperformance resulted in a collective awful.  How and why did this occur?  I don't know but I have some thoughts which I will share in future posts.

Down on the Farm: 6/23/2017

AAA  Fresno Grizzlies beat the Sacramento River Cats 7-6:

Jarrett Parker LF- 0 for 3, 2 BB.  BA= .273.
Ryder Jones 3B- 2 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .299.
Chris Shaw DH- 1 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .263.
Jae-Gyun Hwang 1B- 1 for 3, 2B, BB.  BA= .290.
Michael Roth LHP- 6.2 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 4.11.
Derek Law RHP- 0.2 IP, 1 H, 2 R, 4 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 10.80.

-Austin Slater seems to have grabbed the LF job by the throat, so Parker may not have a starting job to come back to.
-Ryder Jones has been solid all season which makes his current extended hot streak all the more impressive.  He's hitting .351 over his last 10 games, .343 for the month of June and .352 since his BA hit a nadir of .264 on May 23.
-Hwang is creeping closer to his opt out date and he's been playing exclusively at 1B, which would not seem to enhance his chances of getting called up to SF.
-The Giants must think Derek Law is healthy as they used him on consecutive days since his demotion, but man, something is not right with him!

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AA  Akron Rubber Ducks outscored the Richmond Flying Squirrels 9-6:

Myles Schroder 1B- 3 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .291.
CJ Hinojosa SS- 3 for 4, Sac.  BA= .271.
Jeff Arnold C- 1 for 4, HR(4).  BA= .155.

-CJ Hinojosa made BA's Hot Sheet this week.

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High A  Visalia Rawhide whipped the San Jose Giants 6-1:

Aramis Garcia C- 2 for 4.  BA= .278.
Heath Quinn RF- 2 for 4.  BA= .294.
Jake McCasland RHP- 6 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 5.23.
Michael Cederoth RHP- 1.2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

-Cederoth continues to look like a great pickup for the Giants.

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Low A Hickory Crawdads defeated the Augusta Greenjackets 5-2:

Sandro Fabian RF- 1 for 4, HR(4).  BA= .246.
FDLR 1B- 1 for 4, HR(5).  BA= .248.

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Short Season  Eugene Emeralds destroyed the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 15-5:

Malique "5-Tool" Zeigler CF- 2 for 3, HBP, 2 SB(8).  BA= .371.
Manuel Geraldo SS- 3 for 4, 2B, SB(8).  BA= .367.

-Zeigler came out of the game after the HBP.  Hope it's just precautionary.

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DSL  Blue Jays topped the Giants 4-2:

Andrew Carabello 3B- 0 for 1, 3 BB.  BA= .286.
Marco Gonzalez LHP- 5 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 0 ER, 3 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 0.98.

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The Giants entire farm system will be in action tonight as the Arizona Giants open their season.  We should see several 2017 draftees in the lineup possibly including first rounder Heliot Ramos and second rounder Jacob Gonzalez.

Game Wrap 6/23/2027: Mets 11 Giants 4

The Giants were coming off a road trip that ended when they arrived at SFO at 5:00 AM game day.  That may be why Buster Posey and Hunter Pence were not in the starting lineup.  With Eduardo Nunez hitting the DL and Conor Gillaspie getting the call to replace him, Bruce Bochy sent out what some might call a forfeit lineup.  But it was SP Ty Blach who travelled back to SF a day ahead of the team who didn't seem ready to play.  When the Mets, who were swept in 4 games in LA, ran up a 6 spot in the second inning, this game was over.  Key Lines:

Denard Span CF- 2 for 5.  BA= .281.  Span is one of two Giants offensive players to perform significantly above preseason fWAR projections in the first half.  His leadoff single in the first inning led to the Giants first run.

Joe Panik 2B- 2 for 4.  BA= .278.  Panik is performing at preseason projections.

Brandon "Sparky" Belt- 1 for 3, 2B, BB.  BA= .227.  Belt hustled after a pop up down the RF line in he first inning, then threw a seed to 2B to nail Asdrubel Cabrera who was trying to stretch it into a double.  He then came up in the bottom of the inning and stroked a double into the RF corner to drive in Span to temporarily tie the game.  Maybe that slightly snarky nickname Javier Lopez hung on him from the broadcast booth on the road trip provided a "spark"?

Speaking of….Lopez took to calling Buster Posey "Gerald" and I'm not sure how much longer Lopez is going to be welcome in the Giants clubhouse if he keeps coming up with these nicknames!  LOL!

Austin Slater LF- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .333.  One of the hits was an IF squibber that contributed to the 3-run rally in the 6'th inning.  The the other was a lined double to LF in the 4'th inning that went for naught.

Gorkys Hernandez RF- 1 for 4.  BA= .213.  Hernandez' soft single with the bases loaded in the 6'th inning drove in a pair of runs but he also GIDP'd.  Overall, Hernandez has performed significantly below preseason projections.

Ty Blach LHP- 3 IP, 11 H, 7 R, 1 BB, 0 K.  ERA= 4.86.  There was the bloop by Cabrera in the first inning and maybe another 3B might have speared Seth Lugo's double down the LF line in the second but the Mets mostly roasted the ball off Blach for the first 2 innings.  Blach stayed in to pitch a scoreless 3'rd inning, but the game was over by the middle of the second inning.

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Johnny Cueto tries to get the Giants into the Win column tonight facing the Mets best pitcher, Jake DeGrom.

Friday, June 23, 2017

Down on the Farm: 6/22/2017

AAA  Sacramento River Cats defeated the Fresno Grizzlies 9-3:

Jarrett Parker RF- 2 for 4, BB.  BA= .375.
Justin Ruggiano CF/RF- 2 for 3, HR(3), BB.  BA= .271.
Ryder Jones 3B- 2 for 5, 2 2B.  BA= .295.
Mac Williamson DH- 2 for 4, HR(9), BB.  BA= .255.
Chris Shaw LF- 2 for 4, SF.  BA= .263.
Jae-Gyun Hwang 1B- 2 for 5, 2B.  BA= .290.
Andrew Suarez LHP- 6 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 5.40.
Derek Law RHP- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 0.00.

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AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels blanked the Hartford Yard Goats 3-0:

Slade Heathcott CF- 2 for 3, BB.  BA= .274.
CJ Hinojosa 3B- 2 for 3, 2B.  BA= .257.
Matt Gage LHP- 9 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K, GO/AO= 15/4.  ERA= 2.95.

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High A  Visalia Rawhide whipped the San Jose Giants 7-5:

Ronnie Jebavy CF- 2 for 5, 2B.  BA= .333.
Ryan Howard SS- 1 for 5, HR(6).  BA= .322.
Bryan Reynolds RF- 3 for 5, 3B.  BA= .301.
Dillon Dobson 1B- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .224.
Gio Brusa DH- 2 for 4, HR(11).  BA= .254.
Jalen Miller 2B- 2 for 4, HR(4).  BA= .228.
Matt Krook LHP- 4 IP, 5 H, 5 R, 4 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 6.43.
David Owen RHP- 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 4.97.

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Low A  Hickory Crawdads outlasted the Augusta Greenjackets 5-4 in 10 innings:

Sandro Fabian RF- 2 for 5.  BA= .246.
Garrett Williams LHP- 4 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 5 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 2.93.
Jose Morel RHP- 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K.  ERA= 2.04.
Caleb Smith LHP- 2 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 0.87.

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Short Season  Salem-Keizer Volcanoes topped the Hillsboro Hops 8-6:

Ryan Kirby 1B- 2 for 4, BB, SB(3).  BA= .379.
Manuel Geraldo SS- 3 for 4, 2B.  BA= .308.
Richard Amion 3B- 2 for 4, 2 SB(5).  BA= .350.
Jose Marte RHP- 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 2 K.  ERA= 8.10.
Heath Slatton RHP- 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K's. ERA= 0.00
Kendry Melo RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 K, Save(1).  ERA= 0.00.

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DSL  Blue Jays edged out the Giants 3-2:

Alexander Canario RF- 3 for 4, SB(6).  BA= .298.
Aneudy Acosta RHP- 5 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 6.75.

-Canario(17 yo) seems to be a 5-tool talent.  He has 3 HR's and 6 SB in 17 games so far.

Game Wrap 6/22/2017: Braves 12 Giants 11

The Giants blew a lead when the Braves scored 8 runs in the 5'th inning, then mounted a comeback in the late innings only to fall short, once again.  Key Lines:

Joe Panik 2B- 2 for 4, HR(5), BB, SF.  BA= .275.  Panik's overall production is getting back to what you would project for him.  He's hitting .371 in June after a .301 in April but a .192 collapse in May.

Buster Posey 1B- 3 for 5, 2 2B, HR(10).  BA= .344.  Posey is having his best season since 2012.  That short porch is RF in the new Braves ballpark seems to be an inviting target for RH batters.  We saw 2 line drives carry over the short wall and the Buster hit a pop up down the line that stayed fair and easily found the seats.  Gonna be lots of dingers and runs scored in that stadium!

Austin Slater LF/CF- 2 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .323.  Nice bounceback game after an 0 for 5 the night before.  Interesting he moved to CF when Belt entered the game in LF.

Brandon Belt LF- 1 for 2, HR(13), BB.  BA= .226.  Belt is on a pace to hit over 25 HR's which is way over his previous career high.

Matt Cain RHP- 4 IP, 10 H, 7 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 6.43.  Cain pitched decently in Colorado but otherwise has allowed 17 R in 13.1 IP in his other 3 starts this month.  I think he's the answer to the question of who leaves the rotation to make room for Bumgarner.  Giants might even want to consider having another look at Chris Stratton or check out Joan Gregorio before Bum gets back.

Bryan Morris RHP- 0.2 IP, 5 H, 5 R, 1 BB, 0 K.  ERA= 6.43.  Morris came into the game with a 6-5 lead, runners at first and second, no outs.  He proceeded to allow 3 straight singles, a SF and a 3-run dinger.  Not sure what Bochy was thinking there, but Morris prior appearance was also a disaster.  Morris has allowed 8 ER in 2.2 IP over his last 3 Appearances.

Kyle Crick RHP- 2.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K.  ERA= 0.00.  Cricky allowed a hit to the first batter he faced which drove in 1 of Morris' runners, but then he settled down and had success pitching to contact with a FB that averaged 94.8 MPH per Fangraphs.

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The Giants come home to face the Mets with Ty Blach facing Seth Lugo in Game 1.

Thursday, June 22, 2017

Down on the Farm: 6/21/2017

AAA  Sacramento River Cats were idle.

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AA  Hartford Yard Goats defeated the Richmond Flying Squirrels 7-3:

Daniel Carbonell LF- 2 for 4, 2B, HR(1).  BA= .500.
Jeff Arnold C- 1 for 2, 2B,  2 BB.  BA= .156.
Jerry Sands 1B- 3 for 4.  BA= .306.
Cory Taylor RHP- 5 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 4 BB, 1 K, GO/AO= 9/3.  ERA= 4.52.

-Carbonell had been playing in San Jose.  I think he's played some AA games in past seasons.  He's 26 yo.  Is there any hope for him to have a MLB career?

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High A  Cal League was on Day 3 of their All-Star Break.

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Low A  SAL was on Day 3 of their All-Star Break.

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Short Season  Salem-Keizer Volcanoes topped the Hillsboro Hops 5-3 in 13 innings:

Malique "5-Tool" Zeigler CF- 2 for 5, 3B, 2 SB(6).  BA= .370.
Juan Rodriguez RF- 3 for 6, 3B.  BA= .333.
Ryan Kirby 1B- 2 for 6, 2B.  BA= .360.
Steve Bono PH/DH- 2 for 2, SB(2).  BA= .429.
Stetson "Cowboy" Woods RHP- 6 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 1.50.

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DSL Giants beat the Reds 5-4(game called after 6 innings):

Aynesber Sivira 3B- 0 for 2, BB, SB(7).  BA= .262.
Alexander Canario RF- 1 for 2, HR(3), HBP.  BA= .264.
Martin Doria 2B- 1 for 2, SB(4).  BA= .217.
Luis Moreno RHP- 5 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 2 K.  ERA= 4.66.
Jerson Severino RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K, Save(1).  ERA= 6.52.

Game Wrap 6/21/2017: Braves 5 Giants 3 in 11 Innings

Hunter Pence's laser shot HR in the top of the 9'th inning tied the game and rescued a QS by Jeff Samardzija, only to have Matt Kemp hit a walk-off opposite field HR in the 11'th inning to give the Braves the win.  Key Lines:

Denard Span CF-- 3 for 5, 3B.  BA= .274.  Span continues his hot June hitting .342.  His triple in the 8'th set up a run and got the Giants close enough for Pence to tie it in the 9'th.  Did you know that by Fangraphs metrics, Denard Span is the 11'th best defensive CF in MLB this season?

Hunter Pence RF- 2 for 4, HR(5), BB.  BA= .251.  Pence his hitting .351 over his last 10 games.

Jeff Samardzija RHP- 7 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 0 BB, 8 K, GO/AO= 9/1.  ERA= 4.74.  Shark continues to put up ace level peripherals and continues to get hurt by the longball.  He got a QS out of this one though.

Sam Dyson RHP- 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 9.43.  Since an unlucky first appearance with the Giants, Dyson has pitched 4.1 innings with 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K's.  Giants may have found their setup man who also has closing experience.

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Matt Cain tries for a series tie tonight facing lefty Jaime Garcia who always seems to give the Giants fits.  Hmm….I guess all pitchers give the Giants fits these days?

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Down on the Farm: 6/20/2017

AAA  Sacramento River Cats defeated the Albuquerque Isotopes 4-1:

Jarrett Parker RF- 0 for 1, 2 BB.  BA= .250.
Justin Ruggiano CF- 1 for 3, 2B.  BA= .256.
Jae-Gyun Hwang 3B- 2 for 2, SF.  BA= .288.
Tim Fedorowicz C- 2 for 3.  BA= .317.
Chris Stratton RHP- 8 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 9 K's.  ERA= 5.37.
Steven Okert LHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K, Save(4).  ERA= 2.25.

-A Dominant Start by Stratton who now has put together 4 QS out of his last 6 Starts.  Is Stratton closer to a callup than Tyler Beede?

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AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels downed the Hartford Yard Goats 5-4:

Miguel Gomez 2B- 3 for 4, HR(8).  BA= .325.
Sam Coonrod RHP- 7 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 4.67.
Tyler Cyr RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, Save(8).  ERA= 1.78.

-I think Miguel Gomez can hit.

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High A  Cal League held their All-Star Game:  North 5  South 3

-Bryan Reynolds and Aramis Garcia had 1 hit each in 3 AB.
-Ryan Howard went 0 for 2.
-Conner Menez allowed 2 runs in 1 IP.
Mike Connolly pitched a scoreless inning.

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Low A  SAL held their All-Star Game:  Tied 3-3.  Game called after the top of the 8'th inning for some reason.

-Kelvin Beltre went 0 for 1.
-Dominic Mazza pitched a scoreless inning with 2 K's.

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Short Season  Hillsboro Hops outlasted the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 7-6 in 12 innings:

Malique Zeigler CF- 3 for 6, HR(2), SB(4).  BA= .364.
Ryan Kirby 1B- 2 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .368.
Byron Murray 3B- 2 for 5, 2B.  BA= .333.
Alex Bostic LHP- 5 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 5 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 3.60.
Matt Pope RHP- 3.1 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 3 K, BS(1).  ERA= 6.75.
Logan Webb RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 4.50.

-Have I ever remarked at how much I like Malique Zeigler as a prospect?  5 tools!

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DSL  Giants edged out the Reds 3-2:

Andrew Carabello 3B- 2 for 3, BB.  BA= .333.
Luis Alvarado C- 2 for 4. BA= .368.
Francis Pena RHP- 5 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 5 K's, GO/AO= 8/1.  ERA= 2.25.
Abel Adames RHP- 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's, Save(1).  ERA= 0.00.

-Carabello and Alvarado are both 17 yo.
-Pena is 21 yo but this is his first DSL season.
-Adames is 20 yo and stands 6'5".  This is his second DSL season but he pitched just 2 IP, last year.

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Game Wrap 6/20/2017: Giants 6 Braves 3

Austin Slater ignited a cold Giants offense with a 3-run dinger in the 8'th inning and the Giants added on to rescue Matt Moore's Quality Start.  Key Lines:

Brandon Belt 1B- 1 for 4, HR(12).  BA= .223.  Belt has been struggling at the plate, but he's on a pace to set a career high in HR's by a substantial margin.

Austin Slater LF- 1 for 4, HR(2).  BA= .340.  Now THAT's what I'm talkin' about!  3-run dingers win ballgames and Slater supplied that in this game.  The league's pitchers will inevitably find the holes in his swing and he won't hit .340 over the long haul but so far Slater has given the Giants everything they need in LF.  I say the job is his until he proves it was all a fluke.

Kelby Tomlinson 3B- 2 for 3, SB(3).  BA= .294.  Stay hot, Kelby!

Matt Moore LHP- 7 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 1 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 5.82.  That's more like it!  It looked like Moore's bounceback start would go for naught until Slater hit his bomb in the 8'th.  Hopefully this is a game to build on.

Mark Melancon RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K, GO/AO= 3/0, Save(11).  ERA= 4.82.  3 GB outs.  Hopefully this is a game for Melancon to build on too.

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Jeff Samardzija tries to guarantee the Giants at least a series tie tomorrow facing rookie lefty Sean Newcomb.

Down on the Farm: 6/19/2017

AAA  Albuquerque Isotopes outscored the Sacramento River Cats 11-6:

Conor Gillaspie 1B- 3 for 4, 2B, SB(1).  BA= .289.
Jarrett Parker CF- 1 for 3, 2B.  BA= .333.
Mac Williamson RF- 1 for 4, HR(8).  BA= .252.
Chris Shaw LF- 1 for 4, HR(3).  BA= .253.
Tyler Beede RHP- 4.1 IP, 10 H, 7 R, 1 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 5.40.
Tyler Rogers RHP- 2.2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 0 K, GO/AO= 6/1.  ERA= 2.36.
DJ Snelton LHP- 1.2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 1.88.

-Again, Beede has good peripherals but gives up a lot of hits.

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AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels were idle.

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High A  Cal League is on All-Star Break.

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Low A  SAL is on All-Star Break.

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Short Season  Tri-City Dust Devils defeated the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 7-4:

Richard Amion 3B- 2 for 5, SB(3).  BA= .385.
Manuel Geraldo SS- 0 for 2, BB, Sac, 4 SB(7).  BA= .333.
Alejandro De La Rosa RHP- 5 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

-De La Rosa is a 22 yo RHP who spend the last two seasons in the DSL.

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DSL  D'Backs1 topped the Giants 5-3:

Luis Alvarado C- 2 for 3, 2B.  BA= .333.
Norwith Gudino RHP- 7.1 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 9 K's.  ERA= 2.60.

-Gudino is 21 yo.  This is his 3'rd season in the DSL.
-Alvarado is 17 yo.

Monday, June 19, 2017

Game Wrap 6/19/2017: Braves 9 Giants 0

Another city, another ballpark, another series, another wretched game.  The Giants rolled into ATL and did a faceplant in the dirt of the new ballpark, losing by a forfeit score.  Key Lines:

Johnny Cueto RHP- 7 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 4 K, GO/AO= 10/0.  ERA= 4.42.  Cueto showed up to pitch but the Giants gave him no run support that the bullpen blew a close game wide open.  If Cueto didn't want out before tonight, I bet he does now!  If he does, he'll try his darndest to put a few more of these together to generate some interest from a contending team at the trade deadline.

Derek Law RHP- 0.0 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 1 BB, 0 K.  ERA= 5.40.  Law has hit a wall.  After posting a 2.91 ERA in April and a 3.27 in May, he's ballooned to 13.50 in June. He has allowed 8 ER in just 2 IP, over his last 3 appearances.  Might be time to start asking questions about how his arm feels.

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Matt Moore tries to get his ship righted tomorrow facing Julio Tehran.

Sunday, June 18, 2017

Down on the Farm: 6/18/2017

AAA  Sacramento River Cats cooled off the Albuquerque Isotopes 1-0:

Ryder Jones RF/3B- 2 for 4.  BA= .293.
Mac Williamson LF- 3 for 4, 2B.  BA= .252.
Joan Gregorio RHP- 5 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 3.04.
Michael Roth LHP- 4 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 4.12.

-Not a QS for Gregorio but it was 5 dominant innings.  Tyler Beede and Andrew Suarez might be the top 2 SP prospects in the system, but don't forget about Gregorio who just might have the highest ceiling of the 3.

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AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels defeated the Harrisburg Senators 5-3:

Miguel Gomez 2B- 3 for 5, HR(7).  BA= .319.
CJ Hinojosa SS/3B- 3 for 4, 2B.  BA= .252.
Tyler Horan RF- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .208.
Jose Flores RHP- 5.1 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 2.45.
Tyler Cyr RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K, Save(8).  ERA= 1.85.

-Gomez just keeps hitting.  He seems to have settled into a steady role playing 2B.  Any word on how he's doing defensively there?
-CJ Hinojosa is hitting .333 over his last 10 games including 9 for 17 over his last 4.

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High A Visalia Rawhide whipped the San Jose Giants 5-2:

Gio Brusa DH- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .250.
Matt Winn C- 2 for 3, 2B, BB.  BA= .202.

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Low A Asheville Tourists smothered the Augusta Greenjackets 3-0:

Skyler Ewing C- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .232.
Stephen Woods RHP- 7 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 3.49.

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Short Season  Tri City Dust Devils edged out the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 4-3:

Julio Benitez RHP- 5 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

Game Wrap 6/18/2017: Rockies 7 Giants 5

The Giants got a QS from Ty Blach and a go-ahead PH 2-run HR from Hunter Pence in the top of the 9'th.  Brandon Crawford doubled in an insurance run.  Then Mark Melancon not only allowed his 4'th Blown Save of the season, he gave up 4 runs, the last 3 on Nolan Arenado's 3-run walk-off blast, a crushing loss that put an exclamation point on a season already lost.  Key Lines:

Denard Span CF- 1 for 2, 3 BB, 2 SB(3).  BA= .266.  Span continues to set the table at the top of the order.  His teammates at the top of order have not always taken advantage.

Brandon Crawford- 3 for 5, 2B, HR(6).  BA= .258.  Nice game for Crawford out of the 3-hole.

Hunter Pence PH- 1 for 1, HR(4).  BA= .251.  When you go to analyze what went wrong this season, Hunter Pence's injuries and ineffectiveness would be a good place to start.  He came through big time here, though.

Ty Blach LHP- 6.2 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 4.23.  Must have been a thrill for Blach to start a game in his hometown.  He delivered too.  If you can pitch in Coors Field, you can pitch anywhere.

Mark Melancon RHP- 0.1 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 0 BB, 0 K.  ERA= 5.09.  4'th Blown Save of the season with 2 weeks before the half-way mark.  That would be approximately the pace set by Santiago Casilla last year.  Are Blown Saves contagious?  Is Closing such a mental task that expecting to blow the save is transferrable from one closer in one season to a new closer in a new season?  Is Melancon healthy?  Is it ever a good idea to sign any closer to a big long term contract?

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The Giants move on to Atlanta where they try to shake off the 4-game sweep and the crushing loss today with Johnny Cueto facing RA Dickey.

Down on the Farm: 6/17/2017

AAA  Albuquerque Isotopes burned the Sacramento River Cats 8-4:

Orlando Calixte 1B/SS- 2 for 5, 3B.  BA= .304.
Mac Williamson RF- 1 for 3, 2B, BB.  BA= .237.
Tim Fedorowicz C- 2 for 3, BB.  BA= .319.
Andrew Suarez LHP- 5.2 IP, 10 H, 5 R, 1 BB, 8 K's. ERA= 7.94.
Heath Slatton RHP- 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 11.25.

-Strong ratios for Suarez.

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AA  Harrisburg Senators edged out the Richmond Flying Squirrels 2-1 in 10 innings:

Dan Slania RHP- 7 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 0.69.

-Looks like Big Dan switched places with Andrew Suarez.  PCL is a tough league to pitch in.

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High A Visalia Rawhide whipped the San Jose Giants 8-2:

Ryan Howard SS- 3 for 5.  BA= .326.
Jonah Arenado 3B- 2 for 4.  BA= .262.
Michael Cederoth RHP- 3 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

-Not sure why Cederoth was available but he's a really interesting pickup for the Giants.

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Low A Augusta Greenjackets beat the Asheville Tourists 7-2:

Brandon Van Horn SS- 3 for 5, SB(7).  BA= .244.
Kelvin Beltre 2B- 3 for 3, 2B, BB.  BA= .288.
Skyler Ewing C- 2 for 3, 2B, BB.  BA= .222.
Sandro Fabian RF- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .247.
Caleb Baragar LHP- 8 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 4.47.

-Van Horn's reputation is an excellent fielding/no stick SS.  If he's figuring it out at the plate, he could be an interesting prospect.
-After hitting a 3-game rough patch 5/20-6/4, Baragar recovered to allow just 2 ER in 15 IP over his next 2 starts.

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Short Season  Tri-City Dust Devils blew away the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 9-4:

Malique Zeigler CF- 2 for 4, BB.  BA= .417.
Robinson Medrano LF- 2 for 4, SB(1).  BA= .500.
Mikey Edie RF- 2 for 4.  BA= .500.
Vic Black RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

-Vic Black is not Ray Black.

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DSL  D'Backs bit topped the Giants 5-4:

Ghordy Santos 2B- 0 for 2, 3BB, SB(4).  BA= .088.
Omar Medina 1B- 2 for 4.  BA= .292.
Marco Gonzalez LHP- 6 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 1.35.

-Gonzalez is 19 yo.  He has 18 K's in 13.1 IP.

Saturday, June 17, 2017

Game Wrap 6/17/2017: Rockies 5 Giants 1

The Giants scored a total of 17 runs in the first two games of the series and lost both.  Today they held the Rockies to 5 runs…..and still lost!  The other story of this game was clutch hitting by the Rockies who scored all 5 of their runs on 2-out hits and the lack of clutch hitting by the Giants who were 1 for 7 with 2 outs and runners on base.  Key Lines:

Kelby Tomlinson SS- 0 for 3, 2 BB.  BA= .261.
Joe Panik 2B- 3 for 5.  BA= .274.
Hunter Pence RF- 2 for 5.  BA= ..247.

Giants first 3 hitters went a combined 7 for 14 and did not figure into any of the scoring.  As Vin Scully would say, "go figure"!  The Giants lone run scored when Nick Hundley hit a 1-out double in the 4'th inning and Gorkys Hernandez drove him in with a 2-out single.  BTW, Gorkys is 7 for 14 in June so far after hitting .154 and .196 in April and May respectively.

Matt Cain RHP- 5 IP, 9 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 4.99.  This qualifies as a good start by Cainer these days.  What isn't different is the lack of run support.

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Ty Blach tries to stave off the 4 game sweep tomorrow facing a guy who shuts down the Giants, Tyler Chatwood.

Down on the Farm: 6/16/2017

AAA  Sacramento River Cats defeated the Las Vegas 51's' 6-4:

Orlando Calixte 2B/SS- 4 for 5, 2B, 2 3B.  BA= .301.
Ryder Jones 3B- 2 for 4, 2B, HR(10), BB.  BA= .295.
Kyle Crick RHP- 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 2.76.
Steven Okert LHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, Save(3).  ERA= 2.45.

-Ryder Jones has hit .382 over his last 10 games.  He has hit in 17 of his last 19 games with a BA of .343 over that span.

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AA  Harrisburg Senators outscored the Richmond Flying Squirrels 9-6:

Slade Heathcott CF- 3 for 4, HR(11), BB.  BA= .286.
CJ Hinojosa SS- 4 for 5, 2B.  BA= .235.

-Heathcott has been a steady performer all season but has kicked it up a notch in June hitting .340 on the month, .348 in his last 10 games.

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High A  Visalia Rawhide whipped the San Jose Giants 4-3:

Ronnie Jebavy CF- 1 for 3, SF, SB(3).  BA= .340.
Daniel Carbonell RF- 3 for 4, 2B, SB(3).  BA= .307.
Jake McCasland RHP- 7.2 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 2 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 5.61.
Carlos Diaz LHP- 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 2.38.

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Low A  Augusta Greenjackets topped the Asheville Tourists 6-3:

Cristian Paulino 3B- 2 for 5.  BA= .283.
Jean Angomas CF- 2 for 4, 2 3B.  BA= .216.
Michael Bernal SS- 2 for 4.  BA= .293.
Raffi Vizcaino RHP- 5.2 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 3.24.

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SS  Salem-Keizer Volcanoes tamed the Tri-City Dust Devils 8-6:

Malique Zeigler CF- 3 for 4, 2B, HR(1), BB, SB(1).  BA= .375.
Robinson Medrano LF- 2 for 4, 3B.  BA= .500.
Jeffrey Parra C- 2 for 4, 3B.  BA= .500.
Ryan Kirby PH/1B- 2 for 2, 2 SB(4).  BA= .600.
Byron Murray 3B- 1 for 4, HR(1), BA= .375.
Hengerber Medina RHP- 3.2 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 2.45.
Cesar Yanez RHP- 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 0.00.

-That is a busy line for Zeigler.  I love busy lines!
-High hopes for Jeffrey Parra who is 19 yo.

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DSL  Giants sank the Mariners 7-5:

Aynesber Sivira 2B- 1 for 4, 2B, BB, BA= .324.
Alexander Canario RF- 1 for 4, HR(2).  BA= .279.
Ghordy Santos PH- 1 for 1, HR(1).  BA= .094.
Raiber Gutierrez CF/LF- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .124.
Aneudy Acosta RHP- 4.2 IP, 1 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 3 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 9.72.

-Sivira, Canario, Santos and Gutierrez are all 17 yo.

Friday, June 16, 2017

Game Wrap 6/16/2017: Rockies 10 Giants 8

It was another wild and frustrating Coors Field Special as the Giants and Jeff Samardzija built a 5-1 lead only to see it evaporate in an offensive onslaught by the Rockies.  Key Lines:

Denard Span CF- 2 for 5, 3B, HR(4).  BA= .265.  Span is slashing .333/.385/.500 so far in June.

Joe Panik 2B- 3 for 5, 2 2B, HR(4).  BA= .267.   Panik is 6 for 13 in 3 games since coming back from a thumb sprain.

Hunter Pence- 2 for 4.  BA= .242.  Pence's BA hit a nadir of .228 on June 10.  Since then he's gone 7 for 19.

Austin Slater LF- 1 for 3, BB.  BA= .400.  Slater seems to have solved the LF problem, at least for the time being.  Now the Giants have to figure out the rest of the roster.

Jeff Samarzija RHP- 1 for 2, HR(1).  BA= .103.  Shark's blast was the longest HR of the statcast era by a pitcher.

Jeff Samardzija RHP- 6 IP, 11 H, 8 R, 1 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 4.81.  Shark's dinger gave him and the Giants a 5-1 lead in the top of the 5'th inning.  Maybe he was still thinking about the HR when he gave up a 5-spot in the bottom of the 5'th?

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Matt Cain tries to get the Giants on the wining side of the series ledger tomorrow facing Lefty Kyle Freeland.

Down on the Farm: 6/15/2017

AAA  Las Vegas 51's pounded the Sacramento River Cats 12-4:

Conor Gillaspie 1B- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .222.
Ryder Jones 3B/1B- 2 for 3, HR(9), BB.  BA= .291.
Chris Shaw LF- 2 for 4, HR(2).  BA= .253.
Dusten Knight RHP- 4 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 3.00.

-So who gets called up if Nunez hits the DL?  Arroyo got hit on the hand.  Not sure where he is in recovering from that.  Gillaspie?  Ryder Jones?  Hwang?  Ruggy?  Mac?
-I believe this was Dusten Knight's first pro start.

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AA  Game 1  New Hampshire Fisher Cats defeated the Richmond Flying Squirrels 4-1(7 innings):

Brandon Bednar 3B- 2 for 3, 2B, SB(1).  BA= .269.
Cory Taylor RHP- 6 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 5 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 4.45.

-I guess this is what you would call effectively wild for Taylor?

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AA  Game 2  New Hampshire Fisher Cats edged out the Richmond Flying Squirrels 4-3(7 innings):

Myles Schroder CF/LF- 2 for 3, 3B, BB, SB(1).  BA= .269.
Miguel Gomez 2B- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .321.
Matt Gage LHP- 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K, GO/AO= 7/1.  ERA= 3.36.

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High A  Visalia Rawhide topped whipped the San Jose Giants 4-3:

Bryan Reynolds RF- 2 for 3, 2B, BB.  BA= .306.
Aramis Garcia C- 2 for 4, HR(8).  BA= .279.
Daniel Carbonell DH- 2 for 3, BB, SB(2).  BA= .294.
Conner Kaden RHP- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 4.03.

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Low A Augusta Greenjackets beat the Rome Braves 7-2:

Jean Angomas LF- 3 for 6, 4 SB(4).  BA= .182.
Kelvin Beltre 2B- 3 for 4, 2 BB, SB(5).  BA= .279.
Sandro Fabian RF- 2 for 3, BB, Sac.  BA= .247.
FDLR 1B- 3 for 5.  BA= .248.
Brandon Van Horn SS- 4 for 5.  BA= .235.
Dominic Mazza LHP- 7 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 3.84.
Patrick Ruotolo RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 1.27.

-Angomas is a guy who has shown flashes of being able to do it all, but has never found traction on his career.
-Van Horn is hitting .361 over his last 10 games and .354 in June after hitting .216 in April and .176 in May.

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SS  Tri-City Dust Devils outscored the Salem-Keizer Volcanoes 10-4:

Robinson Medrano LF- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .500.
Manuel Geraldo SS- 2 for 2, BB, Sac, 2 SB(2).  BA= 1.000.
Byron Murray 3B- 2 for 4, 2B. BA= .500.
Stetson Woods RHP- 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 5 K.  ERA= 0.00.
Logan Webb RHP- 1 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 2 K's.  ERA= 9.00.

-Stetson Woods might have been my favorite draft pick from 2014.  He got off to a promising start that summer in Arizona, but after 2 awful seasons in 2015 and 2016, I wrote him off as a prospect. He returns this season as the Opening Day starter for S-K and throws down 6 shutout innings.  Gotta be a story here somewhere!  He is 22 yo now and from is bio pic, look…..a bit different.  Timmy hair!

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DSL  Giants topped the Mariners 8-3:

Alexander Canario CF/RF- 3 for 4, 2 2B, SB(5).  BA= .282.
Luis Moreno RHP- 5 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= .228.
Jerson Severino RHP- 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 7.27.

Thursday, June 15, 2017

Game Wrap 6/15/2017: Rockies 10 Giants 9

This was a Coors Field special as the Giants rallied from a 9-1 deficit to tie the game in the top of the 9'th inning only to lose it in the bottom of the 9'th.  Key Lines:

Denard Span CF- 2 for 6, SB(1).  BA= .261.  Hard to believe this was Span's first SB of the season.

Buster Posey C- 3 for 4, 2B, HR(9).  BA= .356.  Buster's MVP caliber season continues.  He came up lame after hitting the dinger in the 7'th and left the game with a sore ankle.

Ty Blach PH- 1 for 1.  BA= .190.  Blach was brought in as a PH and singled to drive in a run and later scored.

Brandon Crawford SS- 3 for 5, 2B, HR(5).  BA= .254.  Crawford's 3-run dinger got the Giants to 9-8 in the 8'th inning.

Austin Slater LF/3B- 4 for 5.  BA= .405.  The Austin Slater hit machine keeps pounding them out.  He played 3B for the first time in his professional career after Nunez pulled up with a gimpy hammy.  Aaron Hill and Kelby had already been used as PH.

Matt Moore LHP- 3 IP, 11 H, 8 R, 2 BB, 7 K's.  ERA= 6.00.  How can you have enough stuff to get 7 of 9 outs by K and still give up 11 hits?  Most of those hits were line drives too, so it wasn't all just BABIP luck.

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Jeff Samardzija tries to even the series tomorrow evening facing Antonio Senzatela.

Scouting the 2017 Draft: Day 3 Wrap

The Giants drafted a whole bunch of very large pitchers on Day 3 of the draft.  My mental picture of the war room is of scouts frantically combing through college rosters, circling any pitcher listed at 6'6" or above and calling their name the next round.  Here's the breakdown:

Round 11:  Doug Still LHP, College(Missouri St).  6'2", 205 lbs.

2017:  8-3, 2.88, 103 IP, 27 BB, 89 K.  3 pitch mix with a FB listed at 86-93 with tail and sink.

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Round 12:  Aaron Bond OF, JC(San Jacinto(TX)).  B-L, T-R.  6'4", 185 lbs.

2017:  .355/.471/.617, 10 2B, 9 HR, 23 SB, 22 BB, 33 K, 141 AB.  Love what I see here.  Great size, 5 tools.  Reminds me of Malique Zeigler one of my favorite picks from last year's draft.

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Round 13:  Tyler Schimpf RHP, College(Texas).  6'4", 207 lbs.

2017:  0-2, 1.56, 17.1 IP, 7 BB, 13 K.  Very Giantsy teen round pick.  Obviously a project, but it looks like there may be some upside here.

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Round 14:  Michael Sexton 3B, College(The Master's)(Sr).  B-L, T-R.  6'2", 225 lbs.

2017:  .394/.488/.812, 16 2B, 17 HR, 31 BB, 25 K, 165 AB.  Conner Menez and Brandon Van Horn seem to be working out pretty well so far, so the Giants go back to the well at The Master's College in Santa Clarita, CA.  Sexton looks more athletic in video than his listed size might lead you to believe.

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Round 15:  Orlando Garcia SS, College(Texas Tech).  B-R, T-R.  6'2", 190 lbs.

2017:  .305/.386/.550, 9 2B, 3 3B, 13 HR, 9 SB, 26 BB, 62 K, 220 AB.  Big SS with some power but a ton of K's.

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Round 16:  John Russell RHP, College(Connecticut).  6'3", 182 lbs.

2017:  3-2, 2.84, 38 IP, 19 BB, 66 K, 14 Saves.  College closer with a big K rate.  Big East is a fairly strong conference.

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Round 17:  Brac Warren RHP, Oregon.  6'4", 215 lbs.

2017:  1-0, 4.56, 23.2 IP, 20 BB, 28 K.  Another project for the Giants pitcher whisperers.

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Round 18:  Christopher Corbett C, College(Rollins)(Div II).  B-R, T-R.  6'1", 195 lbs.

2017:  .349/.410/.632, 10 2B, 3 3B, 9 HR, 5 SB, 17 BB, 19 K, 152 AB.  Nice numbers.  Do they translate to the pros?

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Round 19:  Frankie Tostado OF, JC(Oxnard, CA).  B-L, T-L.  6'2", 220 lbs.

I could not find any stats.  Batting practice video shows a nice swing with tremendous power potential. Looks like a 1B.  I can just imagine what the fans in AT&T Park would do with that name!

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Round 20:  Keaton Winn RHP, JC(Iowa Western).  6''4", ? lbs.

2017:  5-1, 2.47, 51 IP, 17 BB, 56 K.

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Round 21:  Logan Baldwin OF, Georgia Southern.  B-L, T-L.  6'0", 180 lbs.

2017:  .308/.370/.444, 13 2B, 2 3B, 4 HR, 13 SB, 16 BB, 50 K, 214 AB.  Made a highlight reel catch out of CF a couple of years ago.

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Round 22:  Greg Jacknewitz LHP, College(Xavier).  6'3", 210 lbs.

2017:  4-4, 5.03, 68 IP, 30 BB, 49 K.

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Round 23:  Shane Matheny 3B, College(Washington St).  B-R, T-R. 6'1", 205 lbs.

.309/.408/.471, 16 2B, 3 3B, 3 HR, 5 SB, 28 BB, 36 K, 191 AB.  Not the son of Mike Matheny.

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Round 24:  Nico Giarratano SS, College(San Francisco).  B-S, T-R.  6'0", 195 lbs.

2017:  .218/.295/.311, 22 BB, 51 K, 238 AB.  Defensive wizard with no stick.

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Round 25:  Franklin Van Gurp RHP.  College(Florida International).  6'1", 210 lbs.

0-1, 2.91, 21.2 IP, 17 BB, 32 K, 2 Saves.  Gotta love the name.

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Round 26:  Kyle McPherson SS, College(James Madison).  B-R, T-R.  5'11", 180 lbs.

2017:  330/.404/.520, 12 2B, 8 HR, 22 BB, 28 K, 200 AB.

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Round 27:  Matt Brown RHP.  College(San Jose St).  6'6", 220 lbs.

2017:  4-6, 5.95, 72.2 IP, 64 BB, 62 K.  This is where I picture the scouts in the war room starting to look for random pitchers 6'6" or above.

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Round 28:  Peter Lannoo RHP, College(Cornell).  6'6", 220 lbs.

0-0, 3.86, 21 IP, 6 BB, 16 K, 8 Saves.  Look!  Here's another one!

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Round 29:  Frank Rubio RHP, College(Florida).  5'11", 195 lbs.

1-1, 4.05, 26.2 IP, 5 BB, 19 K, 2 Saves.

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Round 30:  Sean Watkins OF, College(Cal St LA).  5'10", 180 lbs.

2017:  .368, 17 2B, 2 3B, 14 HR, 19 BB, 34 K, 124 AB.  Played in Cape Cod League. Not sure what his stats were there.

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Round 31:  Keenan Bartlett RHP, College(Richmond).  6'1", 170 lbs.

2017:  0-2, 8.90, 31.1 IP, 26 BB, 21 K.  Small pitcher with bad numbers.  What the……?

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Round 32:  Blake Rivera RHP, JC(Wallace St(AL)).  6'4", 220 lbs.

2017:  7-1, 1.94, 55.2 IP, 20 BB, 77 K.  Big pitcher with good numbers taken a round after a small pitcher with bad numbers.  As Vin Scully would say, "go figure!".  Hmm…Wallace St is in Alabama?  Wonder who THAT was named after?  They have a Senator named Luther Strange.  Maybe someday there will be a Strange St?

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Round 33:  Peyton Maddox C, College(VMI).  B-R, T-R.  6'3", 185 lbs.

2017:  .291/.368/.459, 16 2B, 2 3B, 8 HR, 21 BB, 69 K, 223 AB.  Not sure if there is a military commitment attached to VMI.  Current administration is going back to strict enforcement of commitments by Military Academy athletes.

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Round 34:  Conner Nurse RHP, HS.  6'6", 210 lbs.

No stats.  FB has been clocked at 92.  College commitment is to JC so should be signable.  Another name for the denizens of AT&T Park to have fun with.

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Round 35:  Dalton Combs OF, College(Huntington(Sr).  B-L, T-L.  6'3", 200 lbs.

2017:  .386/.448/.545, 7 2B, 3 HR, 7 BB, 20 K, 101 AB.

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Round 36:  Joey Marciano LHP, College(Southern Illinois).  6'5", 260 lbs.

2017:  3-3, 4.70, 46 IP, 24 BB, 43 K.  Jumbo pitcher.

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Round 37:  Andy Rohloff RHP, College(Central Florida).  6'3", 195 lbs.

0-0, 3.86, 9.1 IP, 3 BB, 10 K.  Hey!  The K/9!

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Round 38:  Antonio Saldana LHP, HS.  6'7", 230 lbs.

Big kid!  FB listed at 87 MPH.  Commitment is to JC and on Twitter it sounds like he plans to sign.

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Round 39:  Brad Dobzanski RHP, HS.  6'3", 195 lbs.

No stats.  FB listed at 91 MPH. Commitment to Kentucky.  Unlikely to sign.

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Round 40:  Liam Jenkins RHP, JC.  6'8", 250 lbs.

5-1, 2.28, 43.1 IP, 27 BB, 44 K.

Down on the Farm: 6/14/2017

AAA  Sacramento River Cats edged out the Las Vegas 51's 5-4:

Ryder Jones 3B/1B- 1 for 4, HR(8).  BA= .284.
Mac Williamson RF- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .242.
Justin Ruggiano CF- 1 for 3, HR(2), BB.  BA= .273.
Chris Stratton RHP- 7 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 4 K's, GO/AO= 9/1.  ERA= 6.02.

-Chris Stratton has had 3 QS out of his last 5.

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AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels vs New Hampshire Fisher Cats postponed.

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High A  San Jose Giants topped the Modesto Nuts 4-2:

Ronnie Jebavy CF- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .372.
Bryan Reynolds RF- 2 for 4, 2B.  BA= .302.
Heath Quinn LF- 1 for 3, HR(8), BB.  BA= .297.
Matt Krook LHP- 5.2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 6.00.
Will LaMarche RHP- 2.1 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 2.25.
Dylan Rheault RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 0 K, Save(5).  ERA= 2.20.

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Low A  Rome Braves defeated the Augusta Greenjackets 4-2:

Garrett Williams LHP- 4 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 4 BB, 1 K.  ERA= 2.03.

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DSL  Giants pounded the Orioles 15-4:

Aynesber Sivira 2B- 4 for 6, 2B, 3 SB(5).  BA= .370.
Franklin Labour LF- 3 for 5, 2 2B, SB(2).  BA= .367.
Wascar De Leon DH- 2 for 4, BB.  BA= .281.

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Salem-Keizer Volcanoes open their season today.  I'm a bit surprised to see Stetson Woods starting.  Other names on the roster to watch:  Jose Marte RHP, Logan Webb RHP(coming off TJ  surgery but listed as active), Malique Ziegler, Gustavo Cabrera, Manuel Geraldo and Kevin Rivera.

Game Wrap 6/14/2017: Royals 7 Giants 2

Right now the Giants are not fielding a competitive team.  On any given day, they cannot score runs against average MLB pitching and cannot shut down an average MLB lineup.  No bueno!  Key Lines:

Denard Span CF- 2 for 4, HBP.  BA= .259.  The first two batters in the lineup reached base 5 times out of 10 PA's.  The rest of the lineup reached 7 out of 29 PA's with 0 XBH's.

Eduardo Nunez 3B- 2 for 5, 2B.  BA= .301.  Nunez had the only XBH in the game.

Joe Panik 2B- 2 for 4.  BA= .259.  Panik missed a week with a sprained thumb.  2 hits in first game back.

Austin Slater LF- 1 for 4.  BA= .344.  Slater drove in the first Giants run with a single.

Johnny Cueto RHP- 5.2 IP, 10 H, 5 R, 3 BB, 5 K's.  ERA= 4.57.  Right now, Cueto is not a lock to opt out of his contract and not a lock to be tradeable at the deadline.

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Giants hit the road to start a 4 game series in Coors Field which would seem unlikely to go well.  Matt Moore faces Jeff Hoffman in the series opener tonight.

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Down on the Farm: 6/13/2017

AAA  Las Vegas 51's destroyed the Sacramento River Cats 13-2:

Justin Ruggiano CF- 1 for 3, HR(1).  BA= .270.
Tyler Beede RHP- 6 IP, 9 H, 8 R, 7 ER, 2 BB, 6 K's, 5 HR.  ERA= 4.86.

-Not sure what's up with Beede.  LV is a notorious hitter's park but theme a lot of dingers to give up.

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AA  New Hampshire Fisher Cats blanked the Richmond Flying Squirrels 5-0:

Yordy Cabrera RHP- 3 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 3 K.  ERA= 3.86.

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High A  San Jose Giants defeated the Modesto Nuts 8-3:

Ronnie Jebavy CF- 2 for 4, HBP.  BA= .359.
Ryan Howard SS- 2 for 4.  BA= .327.
Aramis Garcia C- 3 for 5, 2B.  BA= .275.
Gio Brusa DH- 2 for 4, 2B, BB.  BA= .250.
Jonah Arenado 3B- 3 for 5, 2B.  BA= .262.
Mark Reyes LHP- 6 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 6 K's.  ERA= 5.70.

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Low A  Rome Braves crushed the Augusta Greenjackets 17-3:

Cristian Paulino CF- 3 for 4, HR(2), BB.  BA= .283.

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DSL Orioles outscored the Giants 13-12:

Alexander Canario CF/RF- 2 for 4, 2 BB.  BA= .219.
Omar Medina 1B- 3 for 5.  BA= .313.
Samuel Jorge 3B- 2 for 2, 2B, BB.  BA= .267.
Andrew Carabello 2B- 5 for 5.  BA= .455.
Luis Alvarado C- 2 for 5, 2B, 3B.  BA= .300.

-All 5 of the players who made the DSL Giants highlights here are 17 years old.

Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Game Wrap 6/13/2017: Royals 8 Giants 1

Much like this season, this game started out with the Giants fighting to keep it close before it completely unraveled in the 6'th inning.  Key Lines:

Buster Posey C- 2 for 3.  BA= .352.  Buster keeps hitting and keeps not getting support from his teammates.

Austin Slater LF- 2 for 3.  BA= .357.  The shining star at the end of the dark tunnel.  Slater has hit at every level and he's continuing to hit in the majors.

Ty Blach LHP- 5.2 IP, 10 H, 7 R, 1 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 4.24.  It's probably just part of the regression process, but Blach got the bad end of a raw deal from the BABIP gods, little run support and then Cory Gearrin allowed 3 inherited runners to score.

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Johnny Cueto tries to salvage a split of the 2 game series tomorrow facing Jason Hammel.

Scouting the 2017 Draft: Day 2 Wrap

The Giants made it a trifecta of HS talent and loaded up on pitching in Rounds 3-10 on Day 2 of the 2017 MLB amateur draft:

Round 3.  Seth Corry, LHP, HS.  6'2", 195 lbs.

Corry is from Utah.  A good sized lefty who can dial it up to 94 MPH with 1 report saying he has been known to get to 96 MPH.  He also has a nice curveball that he reportedly has better command of than his FB.  His changeup is a laggard in development.  He'll take some polishing up but looks like he could grow into a #3 SP role.

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Round 4.  Garrett Cave, RHP, College(Tampa U).  6'4", 205 lbs.

2017:  5-2, 4.23, 61.2 IP, 32 BB, 84 K, 4 Saves.

Cave is an ideal sized RHP who throws hard, reportedly 97-98 MPH. Complements it with a hard slider. He also throws a curveball.  His change up is way behind in the dust.   Dominated the CCL.  Got some buzz in BA despite playing for a Division II school.  Giants obviously bought into it.  He both started and relieved for Tampa.  As you can see from his stat line, he may need to work on reducing his walk rate.  I'm thinking he is a future reliever, possible Closer.

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Round 5.  Jason Bahr, RHP, College(Univ. of Central Florida).  6'5", 190 lbs.

2017:  0-2, 2.97, 60.2 IP, 15 BB, 98 K.  Swingman for Central Florida.  Look at those ratios!  Could be developed as either a SP or reliever.  Giants aren't afraid to try out different roles in the minors.

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Round 6.  Bryce Johnson, OF, College(Sam Houston St.)  B-S, T-R.  6'2", 180 lbs.

2017:  .350/.453/.433, 12 2B, 5 3B, 33 SB, 34 BB, 41 K, 263 AB.

Best tool is his speed.  Scouts as a true CF.  Not a lot of present power but has enough size that it could still develop.  Bio pic on the SHSU website looks a bit like Matt Duffy if you squint hard.  I'm thinking he's cut out of the Matt Duffy/Kelby Tomlinson mold and that's a good thing.

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Round 7.  Logan Harasta, RHP, College(Buffalo).  6'6", 235 lbs.

2017:  1-3, 3.63, 34.2 IP, 26 BB, 50 K, 6 Save.

Big College Closer.  Expect to see him on the reliever track.

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Round 8.  John Gavin LHP, College(CS Fullerton).  6'6", 245 lbs.

2017:  8-2, 2.67, 101 IP, 30 BB, 89 K.

Gavin was born in SF and grew up in the Bay Area.  He's a lifelong Giants fan and just had one of his dreams come true.  BIG lefty who has been unheralded but essential member of the CS Fullerton pitching staff. Turned in his best work in his last 2 starts in the college playoffs. Facing Stanford and Long Beach St he pitched a total of 16 innings allowing just 1 Run with 4 BB's and 15 K's.    I did not know he was a Giants fan but I was rooting for them to draft him based on his profile and stats.

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Round 9.  Aaron Phillips RHP, College(St Bonaventure).  6'4", 195 lbs.

2017:  9-2, 3.04, 100.2 IP, 45 BB, 90 K.  

Another pitchers with ideal size.  Not the greatest college competition and will likely need some development time but appears to have a pretty good ceiling.

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Round 10.  Rob Calabrese, C, College(Illinois, Chicago).  B-R, T-R.  6'1", 195 lbs.

2017:  BA= .353.  23 2B, 8 HR, 20 BB, 26 K, 204 AB.

Questionable competition, but the numbers look good.

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Of course the proof is in the pudding as they say, but I like the looks of this year's pitching draftees a lot better than last year's.  We'll see how they perform.

Scouting the 2017 Draft: DrB's Best Remaining Available Players

Let's take a look at what players from DrB's draft board are still available heading into Day 2 of the draft.  The top names are all HS kids which raises signability concerns.  The Giants may have a bit of room to play with from the top 2 picks which could raise the 3'rd round bonus allotment above the current $500+K, so if they want to go all in with a youth movement, they probably can but will have to pay attention to signability.  Also not sure how many of these will make it to the Giants who have the 19'th pick in Round 3.

17. Brady McConnell, SS, HS.  Would be a great value in the 3'rd round but probably not singable.

25.  Nick Allen, SS, HS.

32.  Blayne Enlow, RHP, HS.

38.  Alex Scherff, RHP, HS.

39.  Jacob Heatherly, LHP, HS.

40.  Garrett Mitchell, OF, HS.

50.  Ricardo De La Torre, SS, HS.  I really like him and he may be signable for round 3 money.

51.  Michael Gigliotti, OF, College(Lipscomb).  If he's still on the board, I would take him.  Had a rough junior season, but stock dropped too far and is now undervalued IMO.

52. Evan Skoug, C, College(TCU).  Another guy whose stock dropped too far, IMO.  Came back strong in the second half of the college season.  Giants are obviously looking for power and he has it.  Not a catcher though.

53.  Colton Hock, RHP, College(Stanford).  Could be solid value in round 3.

59.  Wil Zirzow RHP, College(Florida St).  My Sleeper Pick.

60. Quinn Brodey, OF, College(Stanford).

Here are some other college names from BA's Best Available list:

68.  KJ Harrison C/1B, Oregon St.
72.  Riley Adams C, San Diego.
77.  Conner Wong C, Houston.
79.  Kevin Smith SS, Maryland.
83. Jake Thompson RHP, Oregon St.
86.  Luis Gonzalez OF, New Mexico.  Hey!  Maybe the Giants draft both Gonzalez boys B2B?

Down on the Farm: 6/12/2017

AAA  Sacramento River Cats were idle.

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AA  Richmond Flying Squirrels were idle.

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High A  San Jose Giants topped the Modesto Nuts 6-4:

Ronnie Jebavy CF- 3 for 5, 2B, 3B.  BA= .343.
Ryan Howard SS- 2 for 4, BB.  BA= .325.
Dillon Dobson 1B- 2 for 4.  BA= .235.
Matt Pare DH- 1 for 4, HR(1).  BA= .250.
Carlos Diaz LHP- 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's.  ERA= 2.45.
Dylan Rheault RHP- 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K's, Save(4).  ERA= 2.28.

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Low A Greenville Drive defeated the Augusta Greenjackets 6-4:

Nothing to see here.

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DSL  Padres beat the Giants 6-2:

Keyberth Mejias C- 2 for 3.  BA= .429.
Marco Gonzalez LHP- 4 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 8 K's.  ERA= 2.45.
Oliver Pinto LHP- 2.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 4 K's.  ERA= 3.00.

Keyberth is 17 yo.  Gonzalez is 19 and Pinto is 20.

Monday, June 12, 2017

Scouting the 2017 Draft: Giants Take Two High School Hitters

The Giants don't hit a lot of home runs, but they swung for the fences in the first two rounds of the 2017 draft taking the 5-tool stud, Heliot Ramos, at #19 overall and the power hitting son of Luis Gonzalez at #58.  Personally, I would have taken pitching in this draft, but you sure can't argue with the ceilings of the two hitters here and the Giants sent a strong signal that they were not thinking of the short term future with this draft.  Let's break it down:

Round 1, #19:  Heliot Ramos, OF, HS(P.R.).  B-R, T-R.  6'2", 185 lbs(PG measurement)  I've also seen 6'1", 188 lbs which might be closer to his real size.

PG Metrics:  88 MPH OF throw.  6.55 60 yd dash.  1.32 Time to Impact(a bit long, but I'm not sure this metric means anything).  I'll add that I believe in John Barr's ability to scout bats and in the Giants ability to develop them.

Video:  This kid packs an impressive amount of muscle onto that frame.  Big broad shoulders.  Physically looks a whole lot like Gustavo Cabrera and we can only dream about where Cabrera would be without all the injuries.  Plus power potential.  A SS in HS, will almost certainly move to the OF and could stick in CF although scouting reports I've seen project him as a corner OF.

I had Ramos at #14 on my draft board, so obviously I think this is a good pick.  There were other players available who were higher on my board, but but I'm not going to argue with the ceiling.  He'll be fun to watch develop.  Be prepared to be patient.  Added bonus:  He does not turn 18 until September.

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Round 2, #58:  Jacob Gonzalez, 3B, HS.  B-R, T-R.  6'4", 210 lbs.

PG Metrics:  84 MPH IF.  7.10 60 yd dash.  1.04 Time to Impact(very good).

Video:  OMG! Does this kid look good in a baseball uniform?  A tall kid but very well proportioned.  Imagine Wil Myers but an inch taller.  He has a simple looking swing with minimal pre-swing movement and minimal load.  He has a pretty good leg kick in which he brings his front foot back to even with the plate rather than lifting it high off the ground.  He uncoils in a powerful stroke with more of a downward chop designed to backspin the ball.

I knew Luis Gonzalez had a son in the draft, Luis Gonzalez who plays college ball for New Mexico.  I did not know he had a son coming out of HS who is much bigger than his older brother.  I did not profile him as I had not heard of him prior to tonight.  Apparently Eric Longerhagen of Fangraphs sniffed out that the Giants were in on him, but seemed to think it would be an underslot deal in Round 1.  Fits a very similar profile as Jonah Arenado but seems to be a better prospect coming out of HS.  Again, love the upside of the pick and the Giants seem to be drafting for the post-Posey era which is OK by me.