Friday, February 14, 2014

Fantasy Focus: Outfield 20-20's

Just a bit much to post complete stat lines on 50 OF's, so I thought I would make a few list of some key stats from last year.

"20-20" players, or guys who hit at least 20 HR's and steal at least 20 bases are almost the Holy Grail of fantasy baseball.  Many of these prized players are outfielders.  If they have other stats to back them up, these guys will usually be taken early in the draft and with a high price in auctions.

Mike Trout:  109 R, 27 HR, 97 RBI, 33 SB, .323 BA, 716 PA.  ADP 1.2, Rd 1.1, $61.1  Trout is the #1 fantasy value beating out Miguel Cabrera by a nose for the added SB's.

Andrew McCutchen:  97 R, 21 HR, 84 RBI, 27 SB, .317 BA, 674 PA.  ADP 4.6, Rd 1.1, $47.7.  McCutchen is now a top 5 fantasy talent and challenging Trout and Cabrera for top spot.

Carlos Gonzalez:  72 R, 26 HR, 70 RBI, 21 SB, .302 BA, 436 PA.  ADP 7.0, Rd 1.1, $44.0.  Might challenge Trout for #1 overall if he could stay healthy for a full season.

Carlos Gomez:  80 R, 24 HR, 73 RBI, 40 SB, .284 BA, 590 PA.  ADP 23.2, Rd 2.5, $31.9.  Out from under the radar.  Gomez is now a certified fantasy stud who will cost you on draft day.

Shin-Soo Choo:  107 R, 21 HR, 54 RBI, 20 SB, .285 BA, 712 PA.  ADP 43.6, Rd 4.5, $25.1.  Should continue to thrive in Arlington, TX.

Hunter Pence:  91 R, 27 HR, 99 RBI, 22 SB, .283 BA, 687 PA.  ADP 59.8, Rd 6.0, $20.9.  Most projections have him in a fairly steep regression.  Since last year was his best season, he will probably regress, but I don't think it will be as far as most of the projections as his low BA in 2012 is suppressing them below his career averages.  Excellent value as a 4'th or 5'th round pick and even better at $20 in an auction.

Coco Crisp:  93 R, 22 HR, 66 RBI, 21 SB, .261 BA, 584 PA.  ADP 134.0, Rd 12.6, $6.5.  He's always had it in him.  Finally stayed healthy for a full season.  Can he do that again?

Will Venable:  64 R, 22 HR, 53 R, 22 SB, .268 BA, 515 PA.  ADP 200+, Rd 20+, $1.  Venable has always been a physical marvel.  Finally started to live up to that in 2013.  Maybe moving the fences in at Petco helped?  Still have to worry about him being platooned.

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