Thursday, February 23, 2012

Down on the Farm: Honorable Mention Part VI

Mike Merganthaler, OF. 6'4", 210 lbs. BD: 1/6/1989. B-L, T-L.

Rookie AZL: .388/.476/.592, 4 HR, 5 SB in 103 AB.
College(Richmond): .307/.390/.496, 7 HR, 18 SB in 228 AB.

Merganthaler was drafted in round 32. He was too old for the Arizona League, so you can discount those numbers, but he's got a projectable frame and enough athleticism and speed to steal bases and play CF. A sleeper to watch in 2012.

Kelby Tomlinson, SS. 6'2", 180 lbs. BD: 6/16/1990. B-R, T-R.

Rookie AZL: .357/.417/.543, 10 2B, 5 3B, 2 HR, 11 SB in 140 AB.
College(Texas Tech): .307/.415/.372, 21 SB.

Again, too old and advanced for the Arizona League, but can play SS and has some projection left in his body.

Eric Sim, C. 6'2", 215 lbs. BD: 1/3/1989. B-R, T-R.

Rookie AZL: .352/.438/.586, 6 HR, 5 SB in 145 AB.

Another AZL greybeard, he hit just .108 there in 2010 in just 37 AB. Will have to prove it at higher levels now.

Christian Otero, SS. No info

DNP

Part of the Puerto Rican HS contingent drafted in 2011. Projected as more likely to stick at SS than Jean Delgado. Possibly a weak bat.

Major Elliot Blair, OF. 6'1", 181 lbs. 2/3/1988. B-R, T-R

Rookie AZL: .333/.421/.500, 8 2B, 4 3B, 1 HR, 6 SB in 114 AB.
College(Oklahoma): .333/.405/.485, HR in 33 AB.

Blair is a bit of a mystery. In 4 years of college ball, he only got a total of 111 AB's, but hit .359 with 7 HR and 11 SB's. He tore an ACL in sophomore season and had a concussion his junior season. He came off he bench his senior season. The Giants drafted Garrett Buechele from Oklahoma, so I presume the guy who scouted him saw something he liked in Blair. Another intriguing sleeper candidate.

14 comments:

  1. Six deep in the honorable mention and no love for my man Relaford? Harsh, DrB, just harsh.

    I am very intrigued by the Giants man on the ground in Oklahoma. So we got Clayton Blackburn last year. His teammate is Ty Hensley, who is the most Matt Cain of all the pitchers out there in my opinion. A guy I just discovered is another teammate, a lefty pitcher named Jordan Watson who is a commit to Ok St. Maybe a reader from Oklahoma with knowledge of the prep scene can fill in a bit.

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  2. Hey, given the way Giants SS (and most other team's as well) are hitting these days, I would move Kelby up the list.

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  3. interesting....seems the giants are gonna keep rosin working out of the pen

    doc, didnt you think they were gonna move him back to sp so he could do more work on secondary pitches?

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  4. Well, there are 2 schools of thought on Rosin. One is that he can pound the strike zone with low-mid 90's FB and eat up innings. The other is that it will take too much time for him to polish his secondary pitches and he has potential to be a dominant set-up man or even closer with upper 90's heat in shorter stints. Klima had a discussion about this in his pre-draft scouting report. After reading that kind of adjusted my thinking towards Rosin continuing on the reliever track.

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    1. Minor League Baseball Analyst noted that while Rosin throws strikes with regularity, his fastball lacks movement and is likely better suited in a relief role.

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  5. Sorry this is OT, but I recall someone here talking about OK's Ty Hensley, or maybe I was imagining it, but BA has a blog post on him: http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/draft/2012/02/ty-hensley-next-big-arm-from-oklahoma/

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    1. Yup, I have babbled about Hensley a couple times now. Having read the blog link I like him even more. Thanks for the tip!

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    2. Hensley certainly sounds like he fits the profile of the type of pitcher the Giants have taken high in previous drafts.

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    3. Funny, I remember the reference to Ty, search through the prior 5-8 posts to look for it, but here it is, smack dab on top of the comments here, exactly (or as close to exact as my memory works, I tend to remember things in key words and general statements) as I recall it.

      Glad you liked it, yes, he certainly sounds like the Giants type of pitcher that Tidrow loves (I recall that as the rationale for the Giants picking Daniel Bard, even if Tim Lincecum was available at our pick; he's actually doing pretty well now in Boston as a reliever. The guy I originally wanted, based on what I thought would be available, was Kyle Drabek, and he's still trying to figure things out; lucky that Timmy's oddities made him drop to us).

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    4. Speaking of luck in dropping to us, I guess the view of luck depends on whether you see the glass as Sabean smart or Sabean idiot.

      Right now, I see Sabean's luck in that Derek Jeter, Tim Lincecum, and Buster Posey falling to him (and I'm leaning hard towards including Bumgarner to the list, but left him off because pitchers have a higher threshold, I think; I leave Cain off because he was so far back, there was random luck involved) as Sabean smart. And by 10th, there is a lot of luck too, but Lincecum AND Bugmarner?

      I see the rationale for the Sabean Idiot crowd saying it was good luck that they all felt to him, for one reason or another. But while we can say that there are idiots out there as GM's, to say that there are 4-9 idiots, that happened to pick ahead of Sabean, that would be pushing the incredulous factor.

      And not that Sabean has been perfect. Jason Grilli, Matt White, and especially Brien Taylor, he will have to live down. But drafting is not a perfect art, which as baseball fans we should appreciate, as the quote goes, it's the only sport where you fail 70% of the time and is one of the best players. The draft is an even more extreme version of that statement, the question is how low do you go to hit the dividing line of genius and idiot?

      But once you get beyond the first 5-10 picks, it is pretty much random whether the guy you pick will become a good player in the majors.

      And he has done pretty well overall when picking 1-10: Carl Everett too, as well as the guys listed above, and maybe Wheeler will still turn out to be good too. Yes, some luck involved with those players falling to him, but that's really true of anyone not picking first overall, so do we call all drafting lucky?

      While there is that element of luck, these are the cold-hard facts: he selected them and then his teams kept them. There's not really much element of luck involved with that, he made decisions that led to his teams gaining control and keeping control of them (at least so far).

      Both the picks of Jeter and Lincecum have elements of the same story. His scouts loved both of them. But both were predicted to be selected before his team picked. Joy ensues when the player falls to them.

      Anyway, I think, as the old saying goes, you make your own luck with hard work and preparation, so that when the opportunity falls into your lap, you know when to go for the gold. I think Sabean has done that.

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    5. You make your own luck. I've always liked that one.

      I was actually just discussing Bard 2 nights ago. One of my best buds lives in Boston and got to know some players by attending Big Papi's golf tourney in the DR. He now watches games with Bard's folks. Says Bard is just a great guy, very intelligent and talented. The other guy he really got along with was Wakefield, who is incredibly down to earth. I have a low opinion of the Boston pitching coaches, maybe they'll improve with the new guy they got. It was fun to talk baseball, sip scotch and listen to hipster bands in the heart of Beverly Hills on a thursday night. Stolen time for me, doesn't happen much these days.

      It's so much fun to check out old drafts. The 92 has some, ahem, discussion topics we've covered lately. Jeffrey Hammonds at 4, Michael Tucker at 10, Johny Damon at 35 (is that the best pick the Royals have had? Besides Beltran with the 49th pick of 95 most likely). The Giants got Calvin Murray right after Jeter went. I think both Jeter and Timmy could be viewed as high risk high reward type of players. Sure there is some luck, but somebody also has to step up and grab them. So you had five gunshy GMs, or teams that wanted a more sure thing.

      I wonder how much teams emphasize intelligence and intangibles. With Jeter that is really what he is about. Also Leadership. I just had a random encounter with a very high draft pick's brother, who is dating my wife's cousin. I named dropped enough already here, I'm keeping mum on the particulars. But this player is very well regarded, and one thing about him is his intelligence and charisma. The family went out of their way to get agent representation that would complement that, and the team was insanely psyched he dropped to them. I wonder how good a strategy it is, if it is indeed a strategy. Personally I think the Giants have been cherry picking high IQ baseball types with Timmy, Posey and if you look past the hayseed "drive my truck" act, Bumgarner. Maybe you lose out on the highest skilled athletes, but you might gain something else. Or I could be full of it.

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    6. This McCourt stuff is getting good. As could have been predicted, he is desperately trying to hold onto the parking lots. Classic. Any perspective buyer who doesn't remove him 100% from the situation is a complete imbecile. The fan sentiment down here is downright angry, and there will be a lot of boycotting which could seriously hurt any investment. Its most likely a ploy from McCourt, but having Torre's group pull out is a pretty serious move.

      The Pujols billboards are up. Apparently he doesn't like the nickname El Hombre. Personally I think its awesome, and they are pretty sweet marketing moves if you ask me. They have 4K more season tickets sold, and have a short term time frame to knock the Doyers around a bit.

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    7. Yup, Dodger fans I know are absolutely livid over the McCourt situation and can't wait to get a new owner. So, what if McCourt keeps the parking lots? What's to stop him from building apartments or condos or office buildings on the land? I can't believe any prospective buyer would accept any deal that did not include the parking lots.

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  6. Same here DrB. Absolutely livid. As in, no way they go to games if he has parking lots. Some soften and just won't park there. Looks like there might be a new buying op in Chavez Ravine.

    Just watched the Ryan Braun conference on MLB. I believe him. There are some definite questions, but he doesn't flinch, he looks pissed and sincere. It'll get argued back and forth until we're sick of it, but a test that's 4X the largest result ever with almost 10 years of samples going into the tens of thousands does raise an eyebrow. Good for the Hebrew Hammer, that was a great press conference.

    Also, I got to watch Posey take BP on sfgiants. That was AWESOME. I'm getting pumped for the season. Pablo also looked very good. Pagan took #16. Bochy is back in #15. Baseball is some superstitious mojo, I'm glad Bochy took back 15.

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