#12 Edward Concepcion. Short Season: 3-7, 6.39, 63.1 IP, 46 BB, 57 K's, GO/AO- 1.33.
I guess I was desperate to find a high ceiling pitcher to list after a long run of hitters and over-reached. Concepcion had been reported to have a mid-high 90's fastball with promising secondary stuff. Clearly this was not what we had in mind when we placed him this high. A disappointing season. For those of you who like silver linings though, there are a few to be found:
1. K/9=8.1
2. Positive GO/AO, though not as impressive as his 2010 line.
3. If you throw out 3 horrific outings, 7/25, 7/31, 8/5, the ERA goes down to a much more respectable 4.41.
4. He recovered from that 3 game nightmare to pitch decently over his last 6 appearances. I like prospects who show they can come back from adversity.
In the 2011 list, Concepcion will probably be one of those guys I include at the back end who have been disappointments but have too much potential to completely write off. Right now though, he's just another live arm in the system.
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How old is he? 21? As I recall, he wasn't a particularly young latin signee/prospect coming up through the DSL and ARL. This year was clearly a huge disappointment for Edward. I, like you, Dr. B, had him high on my personal prospect list, hoping that he would capitalize on his success at the lower levels and his talent would shine through. Unfortunately, he took some serious steps backward this year. Still, having an arm like his is like holding a lottery ticket -- the odds are that you won't win, but collect as many as you can because when you do hit the jackpot, you're set.
ReplyDeleteDon't really know anything about him, but his numbers are not that outstanding and he's age appropriate for the league at 21 (if not a little on the old side if he were a good prospect). He should fall down a lot, his walk rate is just unacceptable.
ReplyDeleteYes, he will drop way down, but walk rates can improve. What generally doesn't improve is K rates. K/9 of 8 isn't terrific, but put together with a + GO/AO and it's something to work with.
ReplyDeleteWay too early to write him off, but yeah, a disappointment.