Nice article today on Fangraphs about Jonathan Sanchez:
www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/scouting-jonathan-sanchez
I have some additional thoughts:
1. Sanchez' fastball was 94 mph with regularity last season(at least by the radar readings on TV), and it wasn't unusual to see a 96 or 97 unleashed.
2. Fangraphs is using full season data. Sanchez was a much different pitcher from the no-hitter on, and is shows in his second half splits: ERA= 4.46 while raising his K/9 and lowering his BB/9 slightly.
3. Sanchez got in a bad groove in May and June with ERA's of 6.00 and 7.08. He went to the bullpen for a couple of turns. He worked out some mechanical issues and came back with the no-no. If you take out the months of May and June, his line for the year was 7-5, 3.26, 107.2 IP, 50 BB, 124 K's.
While there is no guarantee that Sanchez will avoid a bad two months in 2010, the fact that he worked out his problems and came back a lot stronger, combined with the normal arc of his career trajectory points to the possibility of a huge breakout in 2010.
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